Fairfax city, Virginia: Professional Migration
Virginia · Presidential Elections 1964–2024
D+33.1
2024 Margin
R+5.2%
2020→2024 Swing
D since 2004
Voting Streak
🏘️ Prof. Migration
Classification
24K
Population
Fairfax city, Virginia voted D+33.1 for Kamala Harris in 2024, with Harris receiving 8,797 votes (64.84%). This represented a R+5.2% swing toward Republicans compared to 2020. The county has voted Democratic in every presidential election since 2004.
Electoral Behavior
🏘️
Professional MigrationView all
Growing metro exurbs and suburbs receiving educated professionals from cities. These areas are shifting blue as remote work and urban flight bring liberal voters. Examples: Atlanta suburbs, DFW exurbs, Denver metro.
Volatility
7.6
Elasticity
Highly elastic
Trend
+1.4/yr (blue)
Quick Stats
2024 ResultD+33.1
2020→2024 SwingR+5.2%
Voting StreakD since 2004
Elections on Record16
Demographics
Population24,146
Median Age
37.5(US: 38.4)
College (BA+)
62.3%(US: 34.6%)
Median Income
$128,708(US: $78k)
White (non-Hisp)
52.5%(US: 57.5%)
Hispanic
18.3%(US: 18.6%)
Black
4.6%(US: 12.3%)
Asian
17.4%(US: 5.7%)
Homeownership
69.3%(US: 64.2%)
Poverty Rate
9.9%(US: 12.4%)
Veterans
7.6%(US: 6.4%)
Non-English (CVAP)
27.2%(US: 17.1%)
Presidential Elections
| Year | Democrat | Republican | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 64.8%(8,797) | 31.7%(4,302) | D+33.1 | -5.2 |
| 2020 | 68.0%(9,174) | 29.7%(4,007) | D+38.3 | +7.9 |
| 2016 | 61.3%(7,367) | 30.8%(3,702) | D+30.5 | +14.3 |
| 2012 | 57.2%(6,651) | 41.1%(4,775) | D+16.1 | -0.4 |
| 2008 | 57.7%(6,575) | 41.2%(4,691) | D+16.5 | +13.2 |
| 2004 | 51.2%(5,395) | 47.8%(5,045) | D+3.3 | +7.5 |
| 2000 | 45.6%(4,361) | 49.8%(4,762) | R+4.2 | +0.5 |
| 1996 | 44.7%(3,909) | 49.4%(4,319) | R+4.7 | -0.1 |
| 1992 | 40.1%(3,884) | 44.7%(4,333) | R+4.6 | +18.9 |
| 1988 | 37.7%(3,430) | 61.3%(5,576) | R+23.6 | +7.6 |
Senate Elections
| Year | Democrat | Republican | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 66.8%(8,882) | 33.2%(4,407) | D+33.7 | -4.2 |
| 2020 | 68.9%(9,179) | 31.0%(4,134) | D+37.9 | -3.1 |
| 2018 | 69.2%(7,330) | 28.2%(2,988) | D+41.0 | +29.6 |
| 2014 | 54.5%(3,812) | 43.2%(3,018) | D+11.3 | -6.5 |
| 2012 | 58.8%(6,728) | 40.9%(4,682) | D+17.9 | -17.9 |
| 2008 | 67.1%(7,527) | 31.3%(3,515) | D+35.8 | +22.3 |
| 2006 | 56.1%(4,541) | 42.6%(3,451) | D+13.5 | +94.7 |
| 2002 | 0.0%(0) | 81.2%(4,829) | R+81.2 | -82.3 |
| 2000 | 50.5%(4,777) | 49.4%(4,677) | D+1.1 | +18.2 |
| 1996 | 41.3%(3,549) | 58.4%(5,023) | R+17.1 | -27.2 |
Governor Elections
| Year | Democrat | Republican | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 72.4%(7,552) | 27.3%(2,847) | D+45.1 | +14.3 |
| 2017 | 64.8%(5,380) | 34.0%(2,822) | D+30.8 | +14.0 |
| 2013 | 55.4%(3,987) | 38.6%(2,777) | D+16.8 | +22.9 |
| 2009 | 46.9%(2,909) | 53.0%(3,285) | R+6.1 | -22.6 |
| 2005 | 57.2%(3,865) | 40.7%(2,750) | D+16.5 | +12.4 |
| 2001 | 51.7%(3,478) | 47.6%(3,203) | D+4.1 | +10.2 |
| 1997 | 46.4%(3,047) | 52.5%(3,451) | R+6.2 | +1.3 |
| 1993 | 46.1%(2,920) | 53.5%(3,390) | R+7.4 | -13.2 |
| 1989 | 52.8%(3,398) | 47.1%(3,027) | D+5.8 | +5.0 |
| 1985 | 50.4%(2,577) | 49.6%(2,538) | D+0.8 | +0.3 |