Manassas city, Virginia, VA
Virginia · Presidential Elections 1972–2024
D+14.8
2024 Margin
R+9.4%
2020→2024 Swing
D since 2008
Voting Streak
43K
Population
Manassas city, Virginia voted D+14.8 for Kamala Harris in 2024, with Harris receiving 9,048 votes (56.2%). This represented a R+9.4% swing toward Republicans compared to 2020. The county has voted Democratic in every presidential election since 2008.
Quick Stats
2024 ResultD+14.8
2020→2024 SwingR+9.4%
Voting StreakD since 2008
Elections on Record14
Demographics
Population42,772
Median Age
35.1(US: 38.4)
College (BA+)
33.2%(US: 34.6%)
Median Income
$110,559(US: $78k)
White (non-Hisp)
34.5%(US: 57.5%)
Hispanic
43.0%(US: 18.6%)
Black
12.0%(US: 12.3%)
Asian
6.0%(US: 5.7%)
Homeownership
72.2%(US: 64.2%)
Poverty Rate
6.7%(US: 12.4%)
Veterans
6.8%(US: 6.4%)
Non-English (CVAP)
28.4%(US: 17.1%)
Community Profile
Religious Composition
Source: Religion Census 2020CatholicSwing vote
51.9%(+33.2 vs US)
Mainline ProtestantSuburban swing
16.4%(+11.2 vs US)
EvangelicalStrongly R
8.0%(-8.5 vs US)
LDS/MormonHistorically R
1.1%(-0.9 vs US)
Black ProtestantStrongly D
1.0%(-1.2 vs US)
Age Distribution
Median:35.1 yrs(US: 38.5)
Under 18Future voters
27.0%↑
18-29Lean D, low turnout
8.2%↓
30-44Swing voters
22.5%↑
45-64Lean R, high turnout
31.9%↑
65+Lean R, highest turnout
10.3%↓
National average
Employment by Industry
Source: Census ACSProfessional ServicesVery high
19.7%ConstructionVery high
14.6%Retail TradeBelow avg
8.3%EducationBelow avg
6.8%ManufacturingBelow avg
6.1%HealthcareVery low
4.1%Political relevance:
Professional Services: College-educated baseConstruction: Infrastructure focusHealthcare: ACA debates
Presidential Elections
Presidential Results
| Year | Democrat | Republican | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 56.2%(9,048) | 41.4%(6,670) | D+14.8 | R+9.4 |
| 2020 | 61.0%(10,356) | 36.9%(6,256) | D+24.2 | D+8.1 |
| 2016 | 54.7%(8,423) | 38.6%(5,953) | D+16.0 | D+2.8 |
| 2012 | 55.8%(8,478) | 42.5%(6,463) | D+13.3 | D+1.9 |
| 2008 | 55.2%(7,518) | 43.9%(5,975) | D+11.3 | D+24.5 |
| 2004 | 43.1%(5,562) | 56.2%(7,257) | R+13.1 | R+1.1 |
| 2000 | 42.4%(5,262) | 54.4%(6,752) | R+12.0 | D+1.0 |
| 1996 | 40.0%(4,378) | 52.9%(5,799) | R+13.0 | D+3.2 |
| 1992 | 32.7%(3,647) | 48.9%(5,453) | R+16.2 | D+21.9 |
| 1988 | 30.5%(2,658) | 68.6%(5,980) | R+38.1 | D+5.0 |
Source: Official state election returns via MIT Election Data + Science Lab
Senate Elections
Senate Results
| Year | Democrat | Republican | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 59.3%(9,375) | 40.7%(6,438) | D+18.6 | R+7.2 |
| 2020 | 62.8%(10,547) | 37.1%(6,227) | D+25.7 | R+2.4 |
| 2018 | 62.9%(8,130) | 34.8%(4,496) | D+28.1 | D+26.7 |
| 2014 | 49.2%(4,004) | 47.8%(3,891) | D+1.4 | R+10.5 |
| 2012 | 55.9%(8,322) | 44.0%(6,550) | D+11.9 | R+17.1 |
| 2008 | 63.9%(7,624) | 34.9%(4,167) | D+28.9 | D+32.5 |
| 2006 | 47.6%(4,003) | 51.1%(4,301) | R+3.5 | D+79.9 |
| 2002 | 0.0%(0) | 83.4%(4,766) | R+83.4 | R+69.9 |
| 2000 | 43.3%(5,233) | 56.7%(6,866) | R+13.5 | D+0.2 |
| 1996 | 43.1%(4,473) | 56.7%(5,891) | R+13.7 | R+2.9 |
Source: Official state election returns via MIT Election Data + Science Lab
Governor Elections
Governor Results
| Year | Democrat | Republican | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 65.4%(7,671) | 34.4%(4,036) | D+31.0 | D+16.0 |
| 2017 | 56.9%(5,295) | 41.9%(3,899) | D+15.0 | D+12.8 |
| 2013 | 48.7%(4,013) | 46.5%(3,828) | D+2.2 | D+26.2 |
| 2009 | 38.0%(2,618) | 61.9%(4,266) | R+23.9 | R+18.6 |
| 2005 | 46.2%(3,167) | 51.6%(3,532) | R+5.3 | D+2.7 |
| 2001 | 45.7%(2,992) | 53.8%(3,520) | R+8.1 | D+15.8 |
| 1997 | 37.4%(2,611) | 61.3%(4,277) | R+23.9 | D+4.9 |
| 1993 | 35.3%(2,341) | 64.2%(4,250) | R+28.8 | R+23.8 |
| 1989 | 47.4%(2,663) | 52.5%(2,947) | R+5.1 | R+2.1 |
| 1985 | 48.5%(1,534) | 51.5%(1,626) | R+2.9 | D+0.0 |
Source: Official state election returns via MIT Election Data + Science Lab