How did AL-02, Alabama vote in the 2024 presidential election?

AL-02, Alabama voted Republican in 2024 with a margin of R+33.5. The Democratic candidate received 97,128 votes and the Republican candidate received 196,542 out of 296,943 total votes cast, a 5.1-point shift toward Republicans from 2020.

What is AL-02, Alabama's political history?

AL-02, Alabama has 5 presidential elections on record, spanning 2008 to 2024. It has voted Republican in every presidential election since 2008. The largest single-election swing was 6.4 points in 2016.

What are the demographics of AL-02, Alabama?

AL-02, Alabama has a population of 710,301 according to the 2020 Census. The racial composition is 40.5% non-Hispanic white, 3.9% Hispanic, 50.4% Black. About 26% of residents hold a bachelor's degree or higher. Median household income is $52,839.

Alabama's 2nd Congressional District

Alabama · Latest: 2024↑ D+49.1 vs 2022

Leans Democratic — flipped 3 times in 25 elections

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POPULATION
710K
HOUSE MARGIN
D+9.2
2024
PRES MARGIN
R+33.5
2024
LEAN
Safe R
COLLEGE+
26%

Place Story

What defines Alabama's 2nd Congressional District

Methodology

Reliably Republican since 2008
- Safe R
- 5 straight R wins
Mobilization target, not persuasion target.
Demographically distinctive: 50% Black (+38pp vs national)
- 50% Black (+38pp vs national)
- 41% non-Hispanic white (-17pp vs national)
Ticket-splitting: President ran 42.7pp behind House
- Divergence 42.7pp in 2024
Persuadable voters present — downballot races can run independent of presidential.
Biggest swing: R+6.4 in 2016
- 2012 → 2016

District in State Context

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Precinct Deep Dive

2024 / 2020 precinct vintages

See how each split precinct fragment inside AL-02 voted, swung, and lines up demographically.

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Historian Query

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“How has Alabama's 2nd Congressional District voted in House elections since 2000?”

Race & Ancestry

Who Lives Here

A race-first Census view with ancestry expansion where source coverage is strong enough to support detail.

AL-02Census ACS 2024Ancestry detail available

Census race profile

Major Census race and ethnicity groups shown as a share of total population.

Expand rows for ancestry detail

Black 50.4%White (Non-Hispanic) 40.5%Hispanic 3.9%Multiracial 2.8%Asian 2.0%Native American 0.4%

Group	AL-02	State	National
▶Black / African American(11)	50.4%	25.8%	12.2%
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13)	40.5%	63.4%	57.4%
▶Hispanic / Latino(17)	3.9%	5.6%	19.3%
Multiracial / Other	2.8%	3.2%	4.0%
▶Asian(6)	2.0%	1.5%	6.0%
▶Middle Eastern / North African(9)	0.6%	—	0.9%
▶Native American / Alaska Native(3)	0.4%	0.5%	0.9%

Method notes

Census treats race and Hispanic/Latino origin as separate questions. Race categories other than Hispanic reflect total populations (small Hispanic overlap in Black, Asian, AIAN, NHPI). “Multiracial / Other” is derived as a non-overlapping remainder.

Click rows to expand ancestry detail. Ancestry from ACS B04006, B03001, B02020, B02016. Totals may differ from race — individuals can report multiple ancestries.

Black / African American (estimated remainder) is derived as Black population share minus reported Sub-Saharan African and West Indian ancestry. It is shown as an estimated ancestry detail, not a standalone Census ancestry category.

MENA estimated from ancestry reporting — Census does not have a separate MENA race category. Not shown in bar (overlaps with other race groups).

Demographic Comparison

Demographics

Read this geography's profile in three layers: local, state (where available), and national baseline.

AL-02 vs Alabama vs National710K residents

26% of adults hold a bachelor's degree — 7pp below the national average. Places with similar education levels vote R+3 on average nationally.

Population & electorate

Scale, voting-age share, and this geography's footprint inside the national electorate.

Total population

Local vs state vs U.S.

710K

local

710KState 5.1MNational 334.9M

Share of U.S. population

Local vs state vs U.S.

0.21%

local

0.21%National 100%

Voting-age population

Local vs state vs U.S.

73.7%

local

73.7%State 75.1%National 75.7%

Economic profile

Income, attainment, and ownership indicators that often shape coalition structure and turnout behavior.

Median household income

Local vs state vs U.S.

$52,839

local

$52,839State $65,481National $83,960

Poverty rate

Local vs state vs U.S.

20.3%

local

20.3%State 15.7%National 12.5%

College degree

Local vs state vs U.S.

26.2%

local

26.2%State 28.5%National 35.6%

Homeownership

Local vs state vs U.S.

60.3%

local

60.3%State 70.2%National 65.2%

Community profile

Age structure, language use, and nativity signals that explain how this geography differs from state and nation.

Median age

Local vs state vs U.S.

37.7 yrs

local

37.7 yrsState 39.4 yrsNational 39.1 yrs

Age 18–29

Local vs state vs U.S.

16.9%

local

16.9%State 15.8%National 15.7%

Age 65+

Local vs state vs U.S.

17.4%

local

17.4%State 17.8%National 17.0%

Foreign born

Local vs state vs U.S.

3.8%

local

3.8%State 4.0%National 14.1%

Non-English at home

Local vs state vs U.S.

5.3%

local

5.3%State 6.0%National 22.2%

English only

Local vs state vs U.S.

94.7%

local

94.7%State 94.0%National 77.8%

Voter Turnout

Turnout in AL-02

Estimated using 2020 Census voting-age population.

2024 Turnout

56.8%

vs Previous

-2.3pp

Voting-Age Pop

523,190

History

2008–2024

Competitiveness

How competitive is AL-02?

Safe RAvg margin: R+31.0 (last 3 elections)

2008

R+28.3

2012

R+24.8

2016

R+31.2

2020

R+28.4

2024

R+33.5

Elasticity

8.7pp

margin range

Party Flips

last 30 years

5-Elec Avg

R+29.2

Ticket-Splitting

Do voters in AL-02 split their tickets?

Divergence between offices in the same election reveals persuadable voters.

ConsistencyHeavy splitting (0/100)

2024 Office Comparisons

Offices	Margin A	Margin B	Split
President vs House	R+33.5	D+9.2	42.7pp

Average divergence across office pairs: 19.8pp

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