Safe Republican — flipped 3 times in 25 elections
POPULATION
764K
HOUSE MARGIN
R+20.3
2024
PRES MARGIN
R+24.0
2024
LEAN
Safe R
COLLEGE+
21%
Place Story
Demographically distinctive: 45% Hispanic (+25pp vs national)
Ticket-splitting: President ran 61.2pp behind House
Persuadable voters present — downballot races can run independent of presidential.
Biggest swing: R+7.3 in 2024
2024 / 2020 precinct vintages
See how each split precinct fragment inside CA-23 voted, swung, and lines up demographically.
Unlock with Pro$33/mo| Group | CA-23 | State | National |
|---|---|---|---|
▶Hispanic / Latino(18) | 44.6% | 40.2% | 19.3% |
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13) | 37.3% | 33.8% | 57.4% |
▶Black / African American(13) | 8.3% | 5.4% | 12.2% |
▶Asian(6) | 4.4% | 15.5% | 6.0% |
Multiracial / Other | 4.1% | 3.5% | 4.0% |
▶Middle Eastern / North African(11) | 1.8% | — | 0.9% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(5) | 1.3% | 1.3% | 0.9% |
21% of adults hold a bachelor's degree — 12pp below the national average. Places with similar education levels vote R+15 on average nationally.
Scale, voting-age share, and this geography's footprint inside the national electorate.
Income, attainment, and ownership indicators that often shape coalition structure and turnout behavior.
Age structure, language use, and nativity signals that explain how this geography differs from state and nation.
| Offices | Margin A | Margin B | Split |
|---|---|---|---|
| President vs House | R+24.0 | R+20.3 | 3.7pp |