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      Data: MIT Election Lab, VEST, Census Bureau
      Home/Elections/2026/US Senate/Arkansas
      2026 ForecastSafe R
      2026·US Senate·Arkansas

      Arkansas US Senate

      Incumbent
      RTom Cotton
      Senate Class 2

      Race Analysis

      Analysis coming soon.

      Updated 2026-02-18

      State Demographics

      Arkansas vs. National · Pop. 3.0M

      White (non-Hispanic)67.4%
      National: 57.4%
      Black14.7%
      National: 12.2%
      Hispanic/Latino9.0%
      National: 19.3%
      Asian1.6%
      National: 6.0%
      College Degree25.9%
      National: 35.6%
      Median Income$61,888
      National: $83,960
      Median Age38.8
      National: 39.1

      Seat History

      US Senate in Arkansas(Class I)

      2022
      John BoozmanREP
      R+34.6
      2020
      Tom CottonREP
      R+66.5
      2016
      John BoozmanREP
      R+23.6
      2014
      Tom CottonREP
      R+17.1
      2010
      John BoozmanREP
      R+21.0
      2008
      Mark PryorDEM
      D+79.5
      2004
      Blanche LincolnDEM
      D+11.8
      2002
      Mark PryorDEM
      D+7.8
      1998
      Blanche LincolnDEM
      D+12.8
      1996
      Tim HutchinsonREP
      R+5.4
      1992
      Dale BumpersDEM
      D+20.4
      1990
      David PryorDEM
      D+99.8
      1986
      Dale BumpersDEM
      D+24.6
      1984
      David PryorDEM
      D+14.7
      1980
      Dale BumpersDEM
      D+18.2
      View all US Senate history for Arkansas →

      Also in Arkansas, 2026

      Governor
      Safe R      ← 2026 Forecast Overview
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