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      Data: MIT Election Lab, VEST, Census Bureau
      Home/Elections/2026/US Senate/Kentucky
      2026 ForecastSafe R
      2026·US Senate·Kentucky

      Kentucky US Senate

      Open Seat

      Mitch McConnell (R) retiring

      Senate Class 2

      Race Analysis

      Analysis coming soon.

      Updated 2026-02-18

      State Demographics

      Kentucky vs. National · Pop. 4.5M

      White (non-Hispanic)81.5%
      National: 57.4%
      Black7.6%
      National: 12.2%
      Hispanic/Latino5.0%
      National: 19.3%
      Asian1.6%
      National: 6.0%
      College Degree27.7%
      National: 35.6%
      Median Income$64,919
      National: $83,960
      Median Age39.2
      National: 39.1

      Seat History

      US Senate in Kentucky(Class I)

      2022
      Rand PaulREP
      R+23.6
      2020
      Mitch McConnellREP
      R+19.5
      2016
      Rand PaulREP
      R+14.6
      2014
      Mitch McConnellREP
      R+15.5
      2010
      Rand PaulREP
      R+11.5
      2008
      Mitch McConnellREP
      R+5.9
      2004
      Jim BunningREP
      R+1.3
      2002
      Mitch McConnellREP
      R+29.4
      1998
      Jim BunningREP
      R+0.6
      1996
      Mitch McConnellREP
      R+12.6
      1992
      Wendell FordDEM
      D+27.1
      1990
      Mitch McConnellREP
      R+4.4
      1986
      Wendell FordDEM
      D+48.8
      1984
      Mitch McConnellREP
      R+0.4
      1980
      Wendell FordDEM
      D+30.3
      View all US Senate history for Kentucky →

      Also in Kentucky, 2026

      No other statewide races in 2026
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