explore / Contest Page
Read the current us senate state first, then inspect ratings, polling, markets, fundraising, and history for Maine in one evidence flow.
Evidence & provenance
Source owners
Akashic Edge race ratings, polling ingests, Polymarket odds, fundraising files, and U.S. Census context.
Freshness
Rendered Apr 14, 2026 from the latest stored polling, market, and race-rating snapshots.
Boundary scope
2026 statewide race page for the current state and office only.
Claim type
Manual race ratings, stored live-market snapshots, polling context, and deterministic demographic history.
Polling and market panels fail closed. If a feed is missing or stale, this page states that directly instead of implying current coverage.
Collins defied every 2020 poll and won by 9, but she ran 15 points below her 2014 number, and the last Republican senator from New England is now the most vulnerable R incumbent on the board. Mills was Schumer's dream recruit, but the Democratic primary has broken decisively toward Platner — Polymarket gives him 74% over Mills (26%), and UNH polling shows him at 64-26 among primary voters. Platner, a Marine veteran and oysterman running on economic populism, leads Collins 49-38 in head-to-head polling and holds a 9-point edge among independents. Mills polls to a dead heat with Collins but is dragged down by 49% gubernatorial disapproval (an all-time high in UNH polling). Platner had early controversies — inflammatory posts, staff departures — but his numbers have only grown since. The Senate Leadership Fund has pledged $42M to defend the seat. In a neutral environment Collins would be favored; in 2026's environment she is not. Lean D.
Updated 2026-03-03
Will Jared Golden be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?
Data from Polymarket prediction markets