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      Data: MIT Election Lab, VEST, Census Bureau
      Home/Elections/2026/US Senate/Ohio
      2026 ForecastLean D
      2026·US Senate·Ohio
      Special

      Ohio US Senate

      Open Seat

      No incumbent

      Senate Class 3

      Race Analysis

      Sherrod Brown wasn't as great a candidate as you might think (did maybe 5% better than expected), but both a better contrast with Husted and a better national environment will more than make up his 2024 margin.

      Updated 2026-02-18

      State Demographics

      Ohio vs. National · Pop. 11.8M

      White (non-Hispanic)75.8%
      National: 57.4%
      Black12.2%
      National: 12.2%
      Hispanic/Latino4.8%
      National: 19.3%
      Asian2.6%
      National: 6.0%
      College Degree31.6%
      National: 35.6%
      Median Income$72,438
      National: $83,960
      Median Age39.8
      National: 39.1

      Seat History

      US Senate in Ohio(Class II)

      2024
      Bernie MorenoREP
      R+3.6
      2022
      J. D. VanceREP
      R+6.1
      2018
      Sherrod BrownDEM
      D+6.8
      2016
      Rob PortmanREP
      R+20.9
      2012
      Sherrod BrownDEM
      D+6.0
      2010
      Rob PortmanREP
      R+17.4
      2006
      Sherrod BrownDEM
      D+12.3
      2004
      George VoinovichREP
      R+27.7
      2000
      Mike DewineREP
      R+24.1
      1998
      George VoinovichREP
      R+12.9
      1994
      Mike DewineREP
      R+14.2
      1992
      John GlennDEM
      D+8.7
      1988
      Howard MetzenbaumDEM
      D+13.9
      1986
      John GlennDEM
      D+24.9
      1982
      Howard MetzenbaumDEM
      D+15.5
      View all US Senate history for Ohio →

      Also in Ohio, 2026

      Governor
      Likely D
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