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      Data: MIT Election Lab, VEST, Census Bureau
      Home/Elections/2026/US Senate/Virginia
      2026 ForecastSafe D
      2026·US Senate·Virginia

      Virginia US Senate

      Incumbent
      DMark Warner
      Senate Class 2

      Race Analysis

      Analysis coming soon.

      Updated 2026-02-18

      State Demographics

      Virginia vs. National · Pop. 8.7M

      White (non-Hispanic)58.4%
      National: 57.4%
      Black18.6%
      National: 12.2%
      Hispanic/Latino11.0%
      National: 19.3%
      Asian6.9%
      National: 6.0%
      College Degree42.3%
      National: 35.6%
      Median Income$99,933
      National: $83,960
      Median Age39.3
      National: 39.1

      Seat History

      US Senate in Virginia(Class II)

      2024
      Tim KaineDEM
      D+7.5
      2020
      Mark WarnerDEM
      D+12.1
      2018
      Tim KaineDEM
      D+16.0
      2014
      Mark WarnerDEM
      D+0.8
      2012
      Tim KaineDEM
      D+5.9
      2008
      Mark WarnerDEM
      D+31.3
      2006
      Jim WebbDEM
      D+0.4
      2002
      John WarnerREP
      R+82.6
      2000
      George AllenREP
      R+4.6
      1996
      John WarnerREP
      R+5.1
      1994
      Chuck RobbDEM
      D+2.7
      1990
      John WarnerREP
      R+80.9
      1988
      Chuck RobbDEM
      D+42.6
      1984
      John WarnerREP
      R+40.1
      1982
      Paul S Trible Jr.REP
      R+2.4
      View all US Senate history for Virginia →

      Also in Virginia, 2026

      No other statewide races in 2026
      ← 2026 Forecast Overview
      ← 2026 Forecast OverviewVirginia profileAll elections