
Leans Democratic — voted Democratic in every presidential election since 1992
POPULATION
1.0M
VAP
787K
TURNOUT
65.0%
COMPETITIVENESS
Safe D
GOVERNOR
Meyer
(D)
2024 PRES
D+14.7
Place Story
Ticket-splitting: President ran 22.2pp behind Governor
Persuadable voters present — downballot races can run independent of presidential.
Catholic edge: 26pp over Evangelicals
Correlates nationally with Democratic-leaning behavior.
Atypical: older but Democratic-leaning (median age 42, D+17.8 avg)
Hypothesis — likely college-town or affluent-suburb effect.