Florida
Latest: 2024
Leans Republican — shifted 9.7pp toward Republicans in 2024
Race & ancestry
| Group | % |
|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13) | 50.4% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(20) | 27.4% |
▶Black / African American(15) | 15.1% |
▶Asian(6) | 2.9% |
▶Middle Eastern / North African(10) | 0.8% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(1) | 0.3% |
▶Native Hawaiian / Pacific Islander(3) | 0.1% |
Multiracial / Other | 3.7% |
Religious adherence
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents |
|---|---|---|
| Catholic | 18.3% | 40.4% |
| Evangelical Protestant | 17.7% | 39.2% |
| Other | 3.7% | 8.2% |
| Mainline Protestant | 2.9% | 6.5% |
| Black Protestant | 2.3% | 5.1% |
| LDS (Mormon) | 0.7% | 1.6% |
| Orthodox Christian | 0.3% | 0.6% |
| Non-religious | 54.8% | — |
Presidential results
| Year | Result |
|---|---|
| 2024 | Trump+13.1 |
| 2020 | Trump+3.4 |
| 2016 | Trump+1.2 |
| 2012 | Obama+0.9 |
| 2008 | Obama+2.8 |
| 2004 | Bush+5.0 |
| 2000 | Bush+0.0 |
| 1996 | Clinton+5.7 |
| 1992 | Bush+1.9 |
Florida has a population of 22,416,077. In the 2024 presidential election, it voted Republican with a margin of R+13.1. Akashic Edge tracks 39 presidential elections here, dating back to 1872.
| Year | Dem % | Rep % | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 43.0% | 56.1% | R+13.1 | R+9.7 |
| 2020 | 47.9% | 51.2% | R+3.4 | R+2.2 |
| 2016 | 47.8% | 49.0% | R+1.2 | R+2.1 |
| 2012 | 49.9% | 49.0% | D+0.9 | R+1.9 |
| 2008 | 50.9% | 48.1% | D+2.8 | D+7.8 |
| 2004 | 47.1% | 52.1% | R+5.0 | R+5.0 |
| 2000 | 48.8% | 48.8% | Even | R+5.7 |
| 1996 | 47.8% | 42.1% | D+5.7 | D+7.5 |
| 1992 | 38.6% | 40.5% | R+1.9 | D+20.5 |
| 1988 | 38.5% | 60.9% | R+22.4 | D+8.3 |
| 1984 | 34.7% | 65.3% | R+30.7 | R+13.6 |
| 1980 | 38.5% | 55.5% | R+17.0 | R+22.3 |
| 1976 | 51.9% | 46.6% | D+5.3 | D+49.4 |
| 1972 | 27.8% | 71.9% | R+44.1 | R+34.5 |
| 1968 | 30.9% | 40.5% | R+9.6 | R+11.9 |
| 1964 | 51.1% | 48.9% | D+2.3 | D+5.3 |
| 1960 | 48.5% | 51.5% | R+3.0 | D+11.5 |
| 1956 | 42.7% | 57.2% | R+14.5 | R+4.5 |
| 1952 | 45.0% | 55.0% | R+10.0 | R+25.2 |
| 1948 | 48.8% | 33.6% | D+15.2 | — |
What defines Florida?
Florida has been trending Republican — 14pp redder over the last 4 presidential cycles. It has a heavily immigrant community where nativity and ethnic networks shape the political landscape.
County-Level Results
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Key Insights
High-confidence patterns distilled from this geography's election history.
- The 2012 election was decided by just 0.9 points — razor-thin
- Won by both parties in recent history — Democrats most recently in 2012, Republicans in 2024
- Shifted 14.0 points toward Republicans over the last 4 elections