Michigan
Latest: 2024
Competitive — shifted 4.2pp toward Republicans in 2024
Race & ancestry
| Group | % |
|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13) | 72.4% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(18) | 5.9% |
▶Black / African American(13) | 13.3% |
▶Asian(6) | 3.4% |
▶Middle Eastern / North African(11) | 2.3% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(2) | 0.5% |
Multiracial / Other | 4.6% |
Religious adherence
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents |
|---|---|---|
| Catholic | 14.8% | 37.3% |
| Evangelical Protestant | 12.1% | 30.5% |
| Mainline Protestant | 4.7% | 11.9% |
| Other | 4.4% | 11.0% |
| Black Protestant | 3.2% | 8.2% |
| LDS (Mormon) | 0.4% | 1.1% |
| Orthodox Christian | 0.4% | 1.1% |
| Non-religious | 60.3% | — |
Presidential results
| Year | Result |
|---|---|
| 2024 | Trump+1.4 |
| 2020 | Biden+2.8 |
| 2016 | Trump+0.2 |
| 2012 | Obama+9.5 |
| 2008 | Obama+16.4 |
| 2004 | Kerry+3.4 |
| 2000 | Gore+5.1 |
| 1996 | Clinton+13.2 |
| 1992 | Clinton+7.4 |
Michigan has a population of 10,077,761. In the 2024 presidential election, it voted Republican with a margin of R+1.4. Akashic Edge tracks 40 presidential elections here, dating back to 1868.
| Year | Dem % | Rep % | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 48.3% | 49.7% | R+1.4 | R+4.2 |
| 2020 | 50.6% | 47.8% | D+2.8 | D+3.0 |
| 2016 | 47.0% | 47.2% | R+0.2 | R+9.7 |
| 2012 | 54.0% | 44.6% | D+9.5 | R+7.0 |
| 2008 | 57.3% | 40.9% | D+16.4 | D+13.0 |
| 2004 | 51.2% | 47.8% | D+3.4 | R+1.7 |
| 2000 | 51.3% | 46.1% | D+5.1 | R+8.1 |
| 1996 | 51.7% | 38.5% | D+13.2 | D+5.8 |
| 1992 | 43.8% | 36.4% | D+7.4 | D+15.3 |
| 1988 | 45.7% | 53.6% | R+7.9 | D+11.1 |
| 1984 | 40.2% | 59.2% | R+19.0 | R+12.5 |
| 1980 | 42.5% | 49.0% | R+6.5 | R+1.1 |
| 1976 | 46.4% | 51.8% | R+5.4 | D+9.0 |
| 1972 | 41.8% | 56.2% | R+14.4 | R+21.1 |
| 1968 | 48.2% | 41.5% | D+6.7 | R+26.9 |
| 1964 | 66.7% | 33.1% | D+33.6 | D+31.6 |
| 1960 | 50.9% | 48.8% | D+2.0 | D+13.5 |
| 1956 | 44.1% | 55.6% | R+11.5 | 0.0 |
| 1952 | 44.0% | 55.4% | R+11.5 | R+9.8 |
| 1948 | 47.6% | 49.2% | R+1.7 | — |
What defines Michigan?
Michigan has flipped between parties in each of the last three elections — a fiercely contested battleground. It has a moderately diverse, middle-class electorate where education levels and suburban growth shape the partisan balance.
County-Level Results
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Key Insights
High-confidence patterns distilled from this geography's election history.
- The 2016 election was decided by just 0.2 points — razor-thin
- Split-ticket voting in 2024: Different parties won President and Senate
- Won by both parties in recent history — Democrats most recently in 2020, Republicans in 2024