Minnesota
Latest: 2024
Competitive — voted Democratic in every presidential election since 1976
Race & ancestry
| Group | % |
|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13) | 75.9% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(20) | 6.4% |
▶Black / African American(14) | 7.0% |
▶Asian(6) | 5.1% |
▶Middle Eastern / North African(10) | 0.5% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(4) | 0.9% |
Multiracial / Other | 4.7% |
Religious adherence
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents |
|---|---|---|
| Catholic | 19.4% | 39.4% |
| Mainline Protestant | 13.5% | 27.4% |
| Evangelical Protestant | 11.8% | 23.9% |
| Other | 4.0% | 8.2% |
| LDS (Mormon) | 0.6% | 1.2% |
| Black Protestant | 0.3% | 0.7% |
| Orthodox Christian | 0.2% | 0.5% |
| Non-religious | 50.8% | — |
Presidential results
| Year | Result |
|---|---|
| 2024 | Harris+4.2 |
| 2020 | Biden+7.1 |
| 2016 | Clinton+1.5 |
| 2012 | Obama+7.7 |
| 2008 | Obama+10.2 |
| 2004 | Kerry+3.5 |
| 2000 | Gore+2.4 |
| 1996 | Clinton+16.1 |
| 1992 | Clinton+11.6 |
Minnesota has a population of 5,739,445. In the 2024 presidential election, it voted Democratic with a margin of D+4.2. Akashic Edge tracks 40 presidential elections here, dating back to 1868.
| Year | Dem % | Rep % | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 50.9% | 46.7% | D+4.2 | R+2.9 |
| 2020 | 52.4% | 45.3% | D+7.1 | D+5.6 |
| 2016 | 46.4% | 44.9% | D+1.5 | R+6.2 |
| 2012 | 52.7% | 45.0% | D+7.7 | R+2.5 |
| 2008 | 54.1% | 43.8% | D+10.2 | D+6.8 |
| 2004 | 51.1% | 47.6% | D+3.5 | D+1.1 |
| 2000 | 47.9% | 45.5% | D+2.4 | R+13.7 |
| 1996 | 51.1% | 35.0% | D+16.1 | D+4.5 |
| 1992 | 43.5% | 31.9% | D+11.6 | D+4.6 |
| 1988 | 53.0% | 46.0% | D+7.0 | D+6.8 |
| 1984 | 49.7% | 49.6% | D+0.2 | R+3.8 |
| 1980 | 46.5% | 42.6% | D+3.9 | R+8.9 |
| 1976 | 54.9% | 42.0% | D+12.9 | D+18.4 |
| 1972 | 46.1% | 51.6% | R+5.5 | R+18.0 |
| 1968 | 54.0% | 41.5% | D+12.5 | R+15.2 |
| 1964 | 63.8% | 36.0% | D+27.8 | D+26.3 |
| 1960 | 50.6% | 49.2% | D+1.4 | D+9.0 |
| 1956 | 46.1% | 53.7% | R+7.6 | D+3.6 |
| 1952 | 44.1% | 55.3% | R+11.2 | R+28.5 |
| 1948 | 57.2% | 39.9% | D+17.3 | — |
What defines Minnesota?
It has a moderately diverse, middle-class electorate where education levels and suburban growth shape the partisan balance.
County-Level Results
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Key Insights
High-confidence patterns distilled from this geography's election history.
- Has voted Democratic in the last 5 presidential elections
- The 2016 election was decided by just 1.5 points — razor-thin