North Carolina
Latest: 2024
Competitive — 24D, 16R in 40 presidential elections
Race & ancestry
| Group | % |
|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13) | 60.0% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(19) | 11.3% |
▶Black / African American(16) | 20.3% |
▶Asian(6) | 3.3% |
▶Middle Eastern / North African(10) | 0.5% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(2) | 1.1% |
▶Native Hawaiian / Pacific Islander(3) | 0.1% |
Multiracial / Other | 4.0% |
Religious adherence
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents |
|---|---|---|
| Evangelical Protestant | 25.8% | 51.0% |
| Mainline Protestant | 8.8% | 17.4% |
| Catholic | 8.7% | 17.1% |
| Black Protestant | 3.6% | 7.1% |
| Other | 3.6% | 7.1% |
| LDS (Mormon) | 0.8% | 1.6% |
| Orthodox Christian | 0.2% | 0.4% |
| Non-religious | 49.3% | — |
Presidential results
| Year | Result |
|---|---|
| 2024 | Trump+3.2 |
| 2020 | Trump+1.3 |
| 2016 | Trump+3.7 |
| 2012 | Romney+2.0 |
| 2008 | Obama+0.3 |
| 2004 | Bush+12.4 |
| 2000 | Bush+12.8 |
| 1996 | Dole+4.7 |
| 1992 | Bush+0.8 |
North Carolina has a population of 10,730,404. In the 2024 presidential election, it voted Republican with a margin of R+3.2. Akashic Edge tracks 40 presidential elections here, dating back to 1868.
| Year | Dem % | Rep % | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 47.6% | 50.9% | R+3.2 | R+1.9 |
| 2020 | 48.6% | 49.9% | R+1.3 | D+2.3 |
| 2016 | 46.2% | 49.8% | R+3.7 | R+1.6 |
| 2012 | 48.4% | 50.4% | R+2.0 | R+2.4 |
| 2008 | 49.7% | 49.4% | D+0.3 | D+12.8 |
| 2004 | 43.6% | 56.0% | R+12.4 | D+0.4 |
| 2000 | 43.2% | 56.0% | R+12.8 | R+8.1 |
| 1996 | 44.0% | 48.7% | R+4.7 | R+3.9 |
| 1992 | 42.7% | 43.4% | R+0.8 | D+15.5 |
| 1988 | 41.7% | 58.0% | R+16.3 | D+7.7 |
| 1984 | 37.9% | 61.9% | R+24.0 | R+21.9 |
| 1980 | 47.2% | 49.3% | R+2.1 | R+13.2 |
| 1976 | 55.3% | 44.2% | D+11.0 | D+51.6 |
| 1972 | 28.9% | 69.5% | R+40.6 | R+30.3 |
| 1968 | 29.2% | 39.5% | R+10.3 | R+22.6 |
| 1964 | 56.2% | 43.8% | D+12.3 | D+8.1 |
| 1960 | 52.1% | 47.9% | D+4.2 | D+2.9 |
| 1956 | 50.7% | 49.3% | D+1.3 | R+6.5 |
| 1952 | 53.9% | 46.1% | D+7.8 | R+17.5 |
| 1948 | 58.0% | 32.7% | D+25.3 | — |
What defines North Carolina?
North Carolina has been won by both parties in the last 6 presidential elections (1D, 5R) — a genuine swing geography. It has a racially mixed, moderately educated electorate — the suburban swing demographic that decides close elections.
County-Level Results
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Key Insights
High-confidence patterns distilled from this geography's election history.
- The 2008 election was decided by just 0.3 points — razor-thin
- Split-ticket voting in 2024: Different parties won President and Governor
- Won by both parties in recent history — Democrats most recently in 2008, Republicans in 2024