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      Data: MIT Election Lab, VEST, Census Bureau
      Home›States›North Carolina

      North Carolina

      R+3.2↓ R+1.9 vs 2020· Latest: 2024

      Competitive — 24D, 16R in 40 presidential elections

      Ask the Historian

      Explore detailed election trends with the Historian

      “Show me presidential margins in North Carolina by county for 2024 vs 2020”

      Key Insights

      • Has flipped parties 8 times since 1868
      • Split-ticket voting in 2024: Different parties won President and Governor
      • All recent elections decided by less than 5 points — highly competitive

      Smart Insights

      120 elections analyzed

      AI-generated analysis of voting patterns and trends in North Carolina.

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      Recent Elections

      2024 Presidential Election in North Carolina2022 Senate Election in North Carolina2024 Governor Election in North Carolina

      Who lives in North Carolina? 10,730,404 residents as of the 2020 Census.

      Demographics

      North Carolina vs National

      Population

      Total Population
      10.7M
      National: 334.9M
      Share of US Population
      3.20%
      National: 100%
      Voting Age Population
      75.7%
      National: 75.7%

      Language at Home

      Non-English at Home
      13.5%
      National: 22.2%
      English Only
      86.5%
      National: 77.8%

      Economic

      Median Household Income
      $74,272
      National: $83,960
      Poverty Rate
      13.1%
      National: 12.5%
      College Degree
      35.8%
      National: 35.6%
      Homeownership
      66.6%
      National: 65.2%

      Age & Other

      Median Age
      39.5 yrs
      National: 39.1 yrs
      Age 18-29
      16.0%
      National: 15.7%
      Age 65+
      17.2%
      National: 17.0%
      Foreign Born
      9.1%
      National: 14.1%

      Who Lives Here

      North Carolina — Census ACS 2024

      White (Non-Hispanic) 60.0%Black 20.3%Hispanic 11.3%Multiracial 4.0%Asian 3.3%Native American 1.1%
      GroupNorth CarolinaNational
      ▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13)
      60.0%57.4%
      ▶Black(15)
      20.3%12.2%
      ▶Hispanic / Latino(19)
      11.3%19.3%
      Multiracial / Other
      4.0%4.0%
      ▶Asian(6)
      3.3%6.0%
      ▶Native American / Alaska Native(2)
      1.1%0.9%
      ▶Middle Eastern / North African(10)
      0.5%0.9%
      ▶Native Hawaiian / Pacific Islander(3)
      0.1%0.2%

      Census treats race and Hispanic/Latino origin as separate questions. Race categories other than Hispanic reflect total populations (small Hispanic overlap in Black, Asian, AIAN, NHPI). “Multiracial / Other” is derived as a non-overlapping remainder.

      Click rows to expand ancestry detail. Ancestry from ACS B04006, B03001, B02020, B02016. Totals may differ from race — individuals can report multiple ancestries.

      MENA estimated from ancestry reporting — Census does not have a separate MENA race category. Not shown in bar (overlaps with other race groups).

      Religious Adherents

      Population that are religious adherents:
      50.7%(5.4M people)
      U.S. Religion Census 2020
      Tradition% of AdherentsUS Average
      Evangelical Protestant
      51.0%—
      Mainline Protestant
      17.4%—
      Catholic
      17.1%—
      Black Protestant
      7.1%—
      Other
      7.1%—
      LDS (Mormon)
      1.6%—
      Click tradition names to expand denominations. Percentages show share of religious adherents (not total population).

      Similar States

      Based on demographic + political profile
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      Sunbelt Battleground
      81%

      Similar States

      Based on demographic + political profile
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      67%
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      67%
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      More Similar States

      7 more similar states

      See 7 more states with voting patterns like North Carolina.

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