Pennsylvania
Latest: 2024
Competitive — 15D, 25R in 40 presidential elections
Race & ancestry
| Group | % |
|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13) | 73.0% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(20) | 8.7% |
▶Black / African American(16) | 10.6% |
▶Asian(6) | 3.8% |
▶Middle Eastern / North African(10) | 0.7% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(2) | 0.2% |
Multiracial / Other | 3.6% |
Religious adherence
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents |
|---|---|---|
| Catholic | 21.9% | 46.7% |
| Mainline Protestant | 9.9% | 21.2% |
| Evangelical Protestant | 9.8% | 20.9% |
| Other | 3.6% | 7.7% |
| Black Protestant | 1.3% | 2.8% |
| LDS (Mormon) | 0.4% | 0.9% |
| Orthodox Christian | 0.4% | 0.8% |
| Non-religious | 53.2% | — |
Presidential results
| Year | Result |
|---|---|
| 2024 | Trump+1.7 |
| 2020 | Biden+1.2 |
| 2016 | Trump+0.7 |
| 2012 | Obama+5.4 |
| 2008 | Obama+10.3 |
| 2004 | Kerry+2.5 |
| 2000 | Gore+4.2 |
| 1996 | Clinton+9.2 |
| 1992 | Clinton+9.0 |
Pennsylvania has a population of 13,018,639. In the 2024 presidential election, it voted Republican with a margin of R+1.7. Akashic Edge tracks 40 presidential elections here, dating back to 1868.
| Year | Dem % | Rep % | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 48.7% | 50.4% | R+1.7 | R+2.9 |
| 2020 | 50.0% | 48.8% | D+1.2 | D+1.9 |
| 2016 | 47.5% | 48.2% | R+0.7 | R+6.1 |
| 2012 | 52.0% | 46.6% | D+5.4 | R+4.9 |
| 2008 | 54.5% | 44.2% | D+10.3 | D+7.8 |
| 2004 | 51.0% | 48.5% | D+2.5 | R+1.7 |
| 2000 | 50.6% | 46.4% | D+4.2 | R+5.0 |
| 1996 | 49.2% | 40.0% | D+9.2 | D+0.2 |
| 1992 | 45.1% | 36.1% | D+9.0 | D+11.3 |
| 1988 | 48.4% | 50.7% | R+2.3 | D+5.0 |
| 1984 | 46.0% | 53.3% | R+7.4 | R+0.2 |
| 1980 | 42.5% | 49.6% | R+7.1 | R+9.8 |
| 1976 | 50.4% | 47.7% | D+2.7 | D+22.6 |
| 1972 | 39.1% | 59.1% | R+20.0 | R+23.5 |
| 1968 | 47.6% | 44.0% | D+3.6 | R+26.6 |
| 1964 | 64.9% | 34.7% | D+30.2 | D+27.9 |
| 1960 | 51.1% | 48.7% | D+2.3 | D+15.5 |
| 1956 | 43.3% | 56.5% | R+13.2 | R+7.3 |
| 1952 | 46.9% | 52.7% | R+5.9 | R+1.9 |
| 1948 | 46.9% | 50.9% | R+4.0 | — |
What defines Pennsylvania?
Pennsylvania has flipped between parties in each of the last three elections — a fiercely contested battleground. It has a moderately diverse, middle-class electorate where education levels and suburban growth shape the partisan balance.
County-Level Results
Ask the Historian
Explore detailed election trends with the Historian
Key Insights
High-confidence patterns distilled from this geography's election history.
- The 2016 election was decided by just 0.7 points — razor-thin
- Won by both parties in recent history — Democrats most recently in 2020, Republicans in 2024