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      Data: MIT Election Lab, VEST, Census Bureau
      Home›States›Tennessee

      Tennessee

      R+29.7↓ R+6.5 vs 2020· Latest: 2024

      Leans Republican — voted Republican in every presidential election since 2000

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      “Show me presidential margins in Tennessee by county for 2024 vs 2020”

      Key Insights

      • Has voted Republican in the last 5 presidential elections
      • Latest election (2024) was a Republican landslide with a 29.7% margin
      • Has flipped parties 12 times since 1868

      Smart Insights

      139 elections analyzed

      AI-generated analysis of voting patterns and trends in Tennessee.

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      Recent Elections

      2024 Presidential Election in Tennessee2024 Senate Election in Tennessee2022 Governor Election in Tennessee

      Who lives in Tennessee? 7,066,383 residents as of the 2020 Census.

      Demographics

      Tennessee vs National

      Population

      Total Population
      7.1M
      National: 334.9M
      Share of US Population
      2.11%
      National: 100%
      Voting Age Population
      75.8%
      National: 75.7%

      Language at Home

      Non-English at Home
      8.6%
      National: 22.2%
      English Only
      91.4%
      National: 77.8%

      Economic

      Median Household Income
      $71,186
      National: $83,960
      Poverty Rate
      13.8%
      National: 12.5%
      College Degree
      31.3%
      National: 35.6%
      Homeownership
      66.9%
      National: 65.2%

      Age & Other

      Median Age
      39.3 yrs
      National: 39.1 yrs
      Age 18-29
      15.8%
      National: 15.7%
      Age 65+
      17.1%
      National: 17.0%
      Foreign Born
      6.1%
      National: 14.1%

      Who Lives Here

      Tennessee — Census ACS 2024

      White (Non-Hispanic) 71.0%Black 15.6%Hispanic 7.4%Multiracial 3.7%Asian 1.9%
      GroupTennesseeNational
      ▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13)
      71.0%57.4%
      ▶Black(13)
      15.6%12.2%
      ▶Hispanic / Latino(19)
      7.4%19.3%
      Multiracial / Other
      3.7%4.0%
      ▶Asian(6)
      1.9%6.0%
      ▶Middle Eastern / North African(10)
      0.6%0.9%
      ▶Native American / Alaska Native(1)
      0.3%0.9%
      ▶Native Hawaiian / Pacific Islander(3)
      0.1%0.2%

      Census treats race and Hispanic/Latino origin as separate questions. Race categories other than Hispanic reflect total populations (small Hispanic overlap in Black, Asian, AIAN, NHPI). “Multiracial / Other” is derived as a non-overlapping remainder.

      Click rows to expand ancestry detail. Ancestry from ACS B04006, B03001, B02020, B02016. Totals may differ from race — individuals can report multiple ancestries.

      MENA estimated from ancestry reporting — Census does not have a separate MENA race category. Not shown in bar (overlaps with other race groups).

      Religious Adherents

      Population that are religious adherents:
      54.4%(3.8M people)
      U.S. Religion Census 2020
      Tradition% of AdherentsUS Average
      Evangelical Protestant
      65.4%—
      Mainline Protestant
      11.7%—
      Black Protestant
      10.3%—
      Catholic
      7.2%—
      Other
      4.8%—
      LDS (Mormon)
      1.4%—
      Orthodox Christian
      0.7%—
      Click tradition names to expand denominations. Percentages show share of religious adherents (not total population).

      Similar States

      Based on demographic + political profile
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      Deep South, Solid Rep
      95%

      Similar States

      Based on demographic + political profile
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      84%
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      82%
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      Lean Rep, Rural Midwest/Mountain
      80%
      IdahoID
      Lean Rep, Rural Midwest/Mountain
      80%

      More Similar States

      7 more similar states

      See 7 more states with voting patterns like Tennessee.

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