Tennessee
Latest: 2024
Safe Republican — voted Republican in every presidential election since 2000
Race & ancestry
| Group | % |
|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13) | 71.0% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(19) | 7.4% |
▶Black / African American(14) | 15.6% |
▶Asian(6) | 1.9% |
▶Middle Eastern / North African(10) | 0.6% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(1) | 0.3% |
▶Native Hawaiian / Pacific Islander(3) | 0.1% |
Multiracial / Other | 3.7% |
Religious adherence
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents |
|---|---|---|
| Evangelical Protestant | 35.6% | 65.4% |
| Mainline Protestant | 6.3% | 11.7% |
| Black Protestant | 5.6% | 10.3% |
| Catholic | 3.9% | 7.2% |
| Other | 2.6% | 4.8% |
| LDS (Mormon) | 0.7% | 1.4% |
| Orthodox Christian | 0.4% | 0.7% |
| Non-religious | 45.6% | — |
Presidential results
| Year | Result |
|---|---|
| 2024 | Trump+29.7 |
| 2020 | Trump+23.2 |
| 2016 | Trump+26.0 |
| 2012 | Romney+20.4 |
| 2008 | McCain+15.1 |
| 2004 | Bush+14.3 |
| 2000 | Bush+3.9 |
| 1996 | Clinton+2.4 |
| 1992 | Clinton+4.7 |
Tennessee has a population of 7,066,383. In the 2024 presidential election, it voted Republican with a margin of R+29.7. Akashic Edge tracks 40 presidential elections here, dating back to 1868.
| Year | Dem % | Rep % | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 34.5% | 64.2% | R+29.7 | R+6.5 |
| 2020 | 37.5% | 60.7% | R+23.2 | D+2.8 |
| 2016 | 34.7% | 60.7% | R+26.0 | R+5.6 |
| 2012 | 39.0% | 59.4% | R+20.4 | R+5.3 |
| 2008 | 41.8% | 56.8% | R+15.1 | R+0.8 |
| 2004 | 42.5% | 56.8% | R+14.3 | R+10.4 |
| 2000 | 47.3% | 51.1% | R+3.9 | R+6.3 |
| 1996 | 48.0% | 45.6% | D+2.4 | R+2.2 |
| 1992 | 47.1% | 42.4% | D+4.7 | D+21.0 |
| 1988 | 41.5% | 57.9% | R+16.3 | R+0.1 |
| 1984 | 41.6% | 57.8% | R+16.3 | R+16.0 |
| 1980 | 48.4% | 48.7% | R+0.3 | R+13.3 |
| 1976 | 55.9% | 42.9% | D+13.0 | D+50.9 |
| 1972 | 29.7% | 67.7% | R+38.0 | R+28.2 |
| 1968 | 28.1% | 37.8% | R+9.7 | R+20.7 |
| 1964 | 55.5% | 44.5% | D+11.0 | D+18.2 |
| 1960 | 45.8% | 52.9% | R+7.1 | R+6.5 |
| 1956 | 48.6% | 49.2% | R+0.6 | R+0.3 |
| 1952 | 49.7% | 50.0% | R+0.3 | R+12.5 |
| 1948 | 49.1% | 36.9% | D+12.3 | — |
What defines Tennessee?
It has a moderately diverse, middle-class electorate where education levels and suburban growth shape the partisan balance.
County-Level Results
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Key Insights
High-confidence patterns distilled from this geography's election history.
- Has voted Republican in the last 5 presidential elections
- Latest election (2024) was a Republican landslide with a 29.7% margin
- Swung 6.5 points toward Republican between 2020 and 2024