Analysis That Shows the Work
Every statistic verified. Every claim backed by data. Long-form political analysis built on 103,000+ county results and 163,000+ precinct records.
Key Findings from the Data
Real numbers from real counties. Every insight verified against source data.
Texas Border
Starr County flipped from D+60 (2016) to R+16 (2024)
NYC Boroughs
Bronx swung 22.6 points (D+67 → D+45) in 4 years
CA Central Valley
Four counties flipped red: Fresno, Merced, San Joaquin, Stanislaus
Alaska Native
North Slope, Bethel, Nome: Indigenous realignment toward Trump
NJ Suburbs
Passaic flipped from D+17 to R+3 in a single cycle
Dearborn
Gaza backlash created 40-point swing against Democrats
More Analysis Coming
Deep dives into the data that shapes American politics.
The Diploma Divide Deepens
How education polarization reshapes district boundaries
Bellwether Burial
Why Ohio and Florida no longer predict national outcomes
The Sunbelt Realignment
Arizona, Georgia, and the new electoral map
Every Number is Verified
We don't guess. We don't approximate. We query the database.
Primary Sources Only
Election results from MIT Election Lab and state Secretary of State offices. Demographics from US Census ACS 5-year estimates.
Verified Before Publication
Every statistic in our articles is queried from our database, not recalled from memory or estimated.
Continuously Updated
As new data becomes available, our articles reflect the latest verified numbers.
Transparent Methodology
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Every claim verified. Every number sourced. Political analysis built on facts.