Joe Biden

an elite president candidate from Delaware who won 7 consecutive elections, consistently outperforming expectations

Democratic

PresidentUS Senate

Electoral Grade

+110.0 pts

avg overperformance

Better than 92% of candidates7 graded races

Overperformance vs. state presidential baseline. Incumbents held to a higher bar: Senate/Gov −3 pts.

Races

33-25

W-L (57%)

+2.0

Avg Margin

1972–2020

Career Span

Best: +86.8 (2020 President)Worst: -43.4 (2020 President)

57%

Win Rate

+15.0

Avg Overperformance

Win Streak

48 yrs

Career Span

82.1M

Career Votes

Top 9%

Percentile

Evidence & provenance

Source owners

Certified contest returns, candidate career records, and Akashic Edge deterministic grading inputs.

Freshness

Rendered Apr 14, 2026 from the latest candidate, contest, and forecast tables loaded in Akashic Edge.

Boundary scope

Candidate-level profile spanning every contest recorded for this person in Akashic Edge.

Claim type

Deterministic summaries, calculated grades, and certified election history. No freeform AI prose.

Source chain

MethodologyCertified contest returnsCandidate grade inputs

Open methodology

Career Margin Trend57 races

Senate

President

Career Timeline

2020 President Arkansas

423,932

Candidate Votes

34.8%

Vote %

1,219,069

Total Votes

-27.6%

Margin

Top opponent: Donald TrumpREP

Key Insights

🔥

7-election win streak (1972–2008)

Won 7 consecutive elections before finally facing a loss.

📈

Outperformed baseline in every graded race (+15.0 avg)

Consistently ran ahead of the presidential partisan lean in 7 graded races.

⭐

Top 9% of all graded candidates

With a A grade (career score: +110.0), ranks in the elite tier of 7+ race candidates.

🏊

Won against the partisan tide in 3 of 7 races

43% of races were won in territory that favored the opposite party at the presidential level.

🎯

6 races decided by less than 2 points

Won 5 of 6 nail-biters (< 2pt margin). Thrives in competitive environments.

Key Insights

5 insights generated

Deterministic highlights from career record, margins, and standout performances.

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Geographic Performance

No county-level data available for this race.

Geographic Performance

58 races with county data

County-level results, strongest and weakest counties, and performance by county type.

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County Results Table

Sortable, searchable table of every county result for each race.

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Demographic Coalition Analysis

No demographic data available for this race.

Demographic Coalition Analysis

58 races available

Scatter plots correlating county performance with demographics: race, education, income, foreign-born.

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Opponents Faced7 opponents

Donald TrumpREP

26-2551 matchups · 2020–2020

Raymond J. ClatworthyREP

2-02 matchups · 1996–2002

Christine O'DonnellREP

1-02008 Senate(+29.4)

M. Jane BradyREP

1-01990 Senate(+26.9)

John Marshall BurrisREP

1-01984 Senate(+20.2)

James H. BaxterREP

1-01978 Senate(+16.9)

J. Caleb BoggsREP

1-01972 Senate(+1.4)

Primary History131 primaries

89-42

W-L

52.6%

Avg Vote %

10.1

Avg Field Size

2024WPresidentSouth Dakota74.6%#1 of 4DEM

2024WPresidentOregon87.1%#1 of 3DEM

2024WPresidentKentucky71.3%#1 of 4DEM

2024WPresidentIdaho95.2%#1 of 6DEM

2024WPresidentNebraska90.2%#1 of 2DEM

2024WPresidentWest Virginia70.5%#1 of 5DEM

2024WPresidentMaryland87.1%#1 of 4DEM

2024WPresidentIndiana100.0%#1 of 1DEM

2024WPresidentConnecticut84.7%#1 of 5DEM

2024WPresidentPennsylvania93.2%#1 of 2DEM

2024WPresidentWyoming99.4%#1 of 3DEM

2024WPresidentNorth Dakota92.4%#1 of 7DEM

2024WPresidentNew York91.5%#1 of 4DEM

2024WPresidentWisconsin88.0%#1 of 3DEM

2024WPresidentRhode Island80.7%#1 of 3DEM

2024WPresidentLouisiana86.1%#1 of 8DEM

2024WPresidentMissouri85.3%#1 of 7DEM

2024WPresidentOhio87.1%#1 of 2DEM

2024WPresidentArizona89.3%#1 of 8DEM

2024WPresidentIllinois91.5%#1 of 4DEM

2024WPresidentKansas83.7%#1 of 5DEM

2024WPresidentMississippi100.0%#1 of 1DEM

2024WPresidentGeorgia95.2%#1 of 3DEM

2024WPresidentWashington83.5%#1 of 4DEM

2024WPresidentHawaii66.0%#1 of 6DEM

2024WPresidentArkansas88.5%#1 of 6DEM

2024WPresidentVirginia88.5%#1 of 3DEM

2024WPresidentUtah86.8%#1 of 5DEM

2024WPresidentTennessee92.1%#1 of 2DEM

2024WPresidentNorth Carolina87.3%#1 of 2DEM

2024WPresidentMassachusetts81.6%#1 of 5DEM

2024WPresidentTexas84.6%#1 of 8DEM

2024WPresidentMinnesota70.1%#1 of 10DEM

2024WPresidentOklahoma73.0%#1 of 6DEM

2024WPresidentAlabama89.5%#1 of 3DEM

2024WPresidentCalifornia89.1%#1 of 14DEM

2024WPresidentColorado82.5%#1 of 9DEM

2024WPresidentIowa90.4%#1 of 4DEM

2024WPresidentMaine92.2%#1 of 3DEM

2024WPresidentMichigan81.1%#1 of 4DEM

2024WPresidentNevada89.3%#1 of 14DEM

2024WPresidentSouth Carolina96.2%#1 of 3DEM

2024LPresidentNew Hampshire0.2%#6 of 31REP

2024WPresidentNew Hampshire63.8%#1 of 30DEM

2024WPresidentMontana91.1%#1 of 2DEM

2024WPresidentNew Jersey97.0%#1 of 2DEM

2024WPresidentNew Mexico83.5%#1 of 3DEM

2024WPresidentDistrict of Columbia86.9%#1 of 4DEM

2024LPresidentAlaska0.0%#1 of 1DEM

2020LPresidentNew Hampshire0.2%#14 of 35REP

2020LPresidentNew Hampshire8.4%#5 of 35DEM

2020LPresidentIowa14.9%#4 of 12DEM

2020WPresidentConnecticut84.9%#1 of 4DEM

2020WPresidentLouisiana79.5%#1 of 15DEM

2020WPresidentDelaware89.4%#1 of 3DEM

2020WPresidentKentucky67.9%#1 of 11DEM

2020WPresidentGeorgia84.9%#1 of 13DEM

2020WPresidentWest Virginia65.3%#1 of 13DEM

2020WPresidentMaryland83.7%#1 of 15DEM

2020WPresidentIndiana76.5%#1 of 9DEM

2020WPresidentNew Mexico73.3%#1 of 7DEM

2020WPresidentRhode Island76.7%#1 of 6DEM

2020WPresidentNew Jersey85.3%#1 of 3DEM

2020WPresidentMontana74.5%#1 of 4DEM

2020WPresidentDistrict of Columbia76.0%#1 of 5DEM

2020WPresidentSouth Dakota77.5%#1 of 2DEM

2020WPresidentPennsylvania79.3%#1 of 4DEM

2020WPresidentHawaii56.4%#1 of 11DEM

2020WPresidentOregon66.0%#1 of 5DEM

2020WPresidentNebraska76.8%#1 of 4DEM

2020WPresidentKansas70.0%#1 of 5DEM

2020WPresidentOhio72.4%#1 of 12DEM

2020WPresidentWyoming72.2%#1 of 9DEM

2020WPresidentAlaska55.3%#1 of 2DEM

2020WPresidentWisconsin62.8%#1 of 13DEM

2020WPresidentIllinois58.8%#1 of 14DEM

2020WPresidentFlorida61.9%#1 of 17DEM

2020WPresidentArizona65.7%#1 of 19DEM

2020WPresidentMichigan52.9%#1 of 16DEM

2020WPresidentMissouri60.1%#1 of 23DEM

2020WPresidentWashington37.9%#1 of 14DEM

2020WPresidentIdaho48.9%#1 of 18DEM

2020LPresidentNorth Dakota39.8%#2 of 13DEM

2020WPresidentMississippi81.0%#1 of 11DEM

2020WPresidentMinnesota38.6%#1 of 16DEM

2020WPresidentNorth Carolina43.0%#1 of 16DEM

2020LPresidentUtah18.4%#2 of 16DEM

2020LPresidentVermont22.0%#2 of 14DEM

2020WPresidentOklahoma38.7%#1 of 15DEM

2020WPresidentMassachusetts33.5%#1 of 16DEM

2020WPresidentAlabama63.3%#1 of 15DEM

2020WPresidentMaine33.9%#1 of 13DEM

2020WPresidentArkansas40.6%#1 of 19DEM

2020LPresidentCalifornia27.9%#2 of 21DEM

2020LPresidentColorado24.6%#2 of 14DEM

2020WPresidentTennessee41.7%#1 of 16DEM

2020WPresidentTexas34.6%#1 of 18DEM

2020WPresidentVirginia53.3%#1 of 15DEM

2020WPresidentSouth Carolina48.6%#1 of 13DEM

2020LPresidentNevada17.6%#2 of 12DEM

2020LPresidentNew York0.0%#1 of 10DEM

2016LPresidentNew Hampshire0.0%#39 of 47REP

2016LPresidentVermont0.0%#8 of 10DEM

2016LPresidentNew Hampshire0.0%#22 of 52DEM

2008LPresidentWisconsin0.1%#6 of 9DEM

2008LPresidentMaryland0.4%#5 of 9DEM

2008LPresidentVirginia0.1%#6 of 7DEM

2008LPresidentLouisiana1.6%#4 of 8DEM

2008LPresidentMissouri0.1%#7 of 10DEM

2008LPresidentMinnesota0.1%#6 of 8DEM

2008LPresidentUtah0.4%#5 of 10DEM

2008LPresidentMassachusetts0.3%#5 of 9DEM

2008LPresidentDelaware3.0%#3 of 7DEM

2008LPresidentConnecticut0.1%#7 of 9DEM

2008LPresidentArkansas0.2%#6 of 9DEM

2008LPresidentColorado0.0%#8 of 8DEM

2008LPresidentNew Mexico0.1%#7 of 8DEM

2008LPresidentCalifornia0.4%#6 of 15DEM

2008LPresidentGeorgia0.2%#4 of 9DEM

2008LPresidentIllinois0.2%#5 of 8DEM

2008LPresidentAlabama0.2%#5 of 7DEM

2008LPresidentNew Jersey0.4%#4 of 7DEM

2008LPresidentNew York0.2%#7 of 7DEM

2008LPresidentTennessee0.2%#5 of 9DEM

2008LPresidentFlorida0.9%#4 of 9DEM

2008LPresidentSouth Carolina0.1%#5 of 9DEM

2008LPresidentNew Hampshire0.0%#29 of 29REP

2008LPresidentNew Hampshire0.2%#7 of 32DEM

2008LPresidentIowa1.1%#5 of 7DEM

2008LPresidentMississippi0.4%#4 of 9DEM

2008LPresidentTexas0.2%#5 of 7DEM

Primary History

131 primaries

Primary election results, win rates, field sizes, and vote share.

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Similar Candidates

8 matches found

Candidates with the closest career profiles — same era, similar performance.

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Historian Query

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“How did Joe Biden compare to other DEM President candidates in Arkansas?”

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