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      Data: MIT Election Lab, VEST, Census Bureau
      Home›Candidates›Jeb Bush

      Jeb Bush

      Republican

      Governor candidate from Florida

      Governor
      Electoral Grade
      B
      +9.6 pts
      avg overperformance
      Better than 57% of candidates3 graded races

      Overperformance vs. state presidential baseline. Incumbents held to a higher bar: Senate/Gov −3 pts, House −2 pts.

      3
      Races
      2-1
      W-L (67%)
      -7.3
      Avg Margin
      1994–2002
      Career Span
      Best: +1.5 (1994 Governor)Worst: -12.8 (2002 Governor)

      Career Margin Trend3 races

      R+10EvenD+10199419982002

      Career Timeline

      2002 GovernorFlorida
      2,856,845
      Candidate Votes
      56.0%
      Vote %
      5,100,581
      Total Votes
      -12.8%
      Margin
      Electoral Performance
      +15.8
      Race Score
      +12.8
      vs. Natl. Baseline
      D-0.0
      State Pres.
      Incumbent (−3pt bar)
      Top opponent: Bill McBrideDEM
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