Skip to main content

Martha McSally

4 races across Senate, House in Arizona, 2W-2L

Republican
US SenateUS House
Electoral Grade
—
Requires 3+ graded races
4
Races
2-2
W-L (50%)
+2.3
Avg Margin
2012–2018
Career Span
Best: +2.3 (2018 Senate)Worst: 2.3 (2018 Senate)
50%
Win Rate
+11.5
Avg Overperformance
2
Win Streak
6 yrs
Career Span
1.1M
Career Votes

Evidence & provenance

Source owners

Certified contest returns, candidate career records, and Akashic Edge deterministic grading inputs.

Freshness

Rendered Apr 14, 2026 from the latest candidate, contest, and forecast tables loaded in Akashic Edge.

Boundary scope

Candidate-level profile spanning every contest recorded for this person in Akashic Edge.

Claim type

Deterministic summaries, calculated grades, and certified election history. No freeform AI prose.

Source chain

MethodologyCertified contest returnsCandidate grade inputs
Open methodology

Career Timeline

2018 US SenateArizona
1,135,200
Candidate Votes
47.6%
Vote %
2,384,308
Total Votes
+2.3%
Margin
Electoral Performance
+11.5
Race Score
+11.5
vs. State Pres.
D+13.8
State Pres.
Top opponent: Krysten SinemaDEM

Geographic Performance

4 races with county data

County-level results, strongest and weakest counties, and performance by county type.

Unlock with Pro$33/mo

County Results Table

Sortable, searchable table of every county result for each race.

Unlock with Pro$33/mo

Demographic Coalition Analysis

4 races available

Scatter plots correlating county performance with demographics: race, education, income, foreign-born.

Unlock with Insider$99/mo

Opponents Faced3 opponents

Ron BarberDEM
1-12 matchups · 2012–2014
Krysten SinemaDEM
0-12018 Senate(+2.3)
Matt HeinzDEM
1-02016 House

Primary History

3 primaries

Primary election results, win rates, field sizes, and vote share.

Unlock with Pro$33/mo
Historian Query

Ask the Historian

Curious about Martha McSally's performance?

Ask the Historian

Interactive AI-powered chat about Martha McSally's career, opponents, and performance.

Unlock with Insider$99/mo
Export & ShareCSV (Insider)JSON (Insider)
Share

Explore Related

Arizona
Election history and demographics for Arizona
2018 Elections
All results from 2018
Rankings
Who overperformed their state's partisan lean?
Historian
Ask any question about 165 years of elections
2026 Elections
Forecasts, polling, and battleground races in one place
← All candidates