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      Data: MIT Election Lab, VEST, Census Bureau
      Home›Candidates›Neal Smith

      Neal Smith

      Democratic

      Won 9 consecutive elections (1976–1992)

      US House
      Electoral Grade
      A-
      +29.4 pts
      avg overperformance
      Better than 83% of candidates9 graded races

      Overperformance vs. state presidential baseline. Incumbents held to a higher bar: Senate/Gov −3 pts, House −2 pts.

      10
      Races
      9-1
      W-L (90%)
      +32.6
      Avg Margin
      1976–1994
      Career Span
      Best: +97.9 (1990 House)Worst: -6.2 (1994 House)

      Career Margin Trend10 races

      R+60R+30EvenD+30D+601976197819801982198419861988199019921994

      Career Timeline

      1994 US HouseIowaDistrict 4
      98,824
      Candidate Votes
      46.4%
      Vote %
      213,206
      Total Votes
      -6.2%
      Margin
      Electoral Performance
      -10.2
      Race Score
      -12.2
      vs. Natl. Baseline
      D+6.0
      State Pres.
      Incumbent (−2pt bar)
      Top opponent: Greg GanskeREP
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