Competitive — shifted 9.9pp toward Republicans in 2024 — 39 presidential elections on record
| Group | % |
|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13) | 44.8% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(20) | 30.4% |
▶Black / African American(16) | 16.0% |
▶Asian(6) | 4.6% |
▶Middle Eastern / North African(11) | 1.3% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(2) | 0.4% |
▶Native Hawaiian / Pacific Islander(3) | 0.1% |
Multiracial / Other | 3.7% |
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents |
|---|---|---|
| Catholic | 26.5% | 44.1% |
| Evangelical Protestant | 22.6% | 37.6% |
| Mainline Protestant | 4.3% | 7.1% |
| Other | 4.3% | 7.1% |
| Black Protestant | 2.2% | 3.7% |
| LDS (Mormon) | 0.6% | 1.0% |
| Orthodox Christian | 0.2% | 0.4% |
| Non-religious | 39.9% | — |
| Year | Result |
|---|---|
| 2024 | Trump+3.1 |
| 2020 | Biden+6.9 |
| 2016 | Clinton+6.9 |
| 2012 | Obama+6.7 |
| 2008 | Obama+7.1 |
| 2004 | Bush+6.8 |
| 2000 | Bush+3.1 |
| 1996 | Clinton+2.5 |
| 1992 | Bush+5.0 |
1996: Perot 8.2% · 1992: Perot 20.3%