Arenac County, Michigan: Northern Rural Secular
Michigan · Presidential Elections 1892–2024
R+40.6
2024 Margin
R+4.9%
2020→2024 Swing
R since 2012
Voting Streak
🌾 N. Rural
Classification
15K
Population
Arenac County, Michigan voted R+40.6 for Donald Trump in 2024, with Trump receiving 6,379 votes (69.62%). This represented a R+4.9% swing toward Republicans compared to 2020. The county has voted Republican in every presidential election since 2012.
Electoral Behavior
🌾
Northern Rural SecularView all
Rural counties in the Upper Midwest (MN/IA/WI/IN/MO/IL/MI) that voted for Obama in 2008 but have swung dramatically toward Republicans. These historically Democratic, secular farming communities have realigned.
Volatility
8.6
Elasticity
Sticky
Trend
-1.9/yr (red)
Quick Stats
2024 ResultR+40.6
2020→2024 SwingR+4.9%
Voting StreakR since 2012
Elections on Record34
Demographics
Population15,002
Median Age
50.0(US: 38.4)
College (BA+)
21.1%(US: 47.9%)
Median Income
$53,487(US: $78k)
White (non-Hisp)
93.2%(US: 57.5%)
Hispanic
2.1%(US: 18.6%)
Homeownership
85.7%(US: 64.2%)
Poverty Rate
13.4%(US: 12.4%)
Veterans
8.9%(US: 6.4%)
Presidential Elections
| Year | Democrat | Republican | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 29.1%(2,662) | 69.6%(6,379) | R+40.6 | -4.9 |
| 2020 | 31.4%(2,774) | 67.1%(5,928) | R+35.7 | -2.5 |
| 2016 | 30.8%(2,384) | 64.0%(4,950) | R+33.2 | -28.3 |
| 2012 | 46.8%(3,669) | 51.7%(4,057) | R+5.0 | -9.2 |
| 2008 | 51.1%(4,155) | 46.8%(3,807) | D+4.3 | +4.2 |
| 2004 | 49.6%(4,076) | 49.5%(4,071) | D+0.1 | -3.6 |
| 2000 | 50.7%(3,685) | 47.1%(3,421) | D+3.6 | -15.0 |
| 1996 | 52.7%(3,472) | 34.1%(2,247) | D+18.6 | +5.9 |
| 1992 | 45.0%(3,244) | 32.3%(2,330) | D+12.7 | +10.3 |
| 1988 | 51.0%(3,211) | 48.6%(3,064) | D+2.3 | +20.0 |
Senate Elections
| Year | Democrat | Republican | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 31.2%(2,786) | 66.1%(5,911) | R+35.0 | -7.9 |
| 2020 | 35.4%(3,085) | 62.5%(5,443) | R+27.1 | -6.1 |
| 2018 | 38.3%(2,582) | 59.3%(3,995) | R+21.0 | -33.7 |
| 2014 | 53.5%(2,827) | 40.8%(2,153) | D+12.8 | -6.4 |
| 2012 | 57.6%(4,411) | 38.4%(2,940) | D+19.2 | -8.8 |
| 2008 | 61.9%(4,867) | 33.9%(2,667) | D+28.0 | +8.1 |
| 2006 | 58.9%(3,913) | 39.0%(2,588) | D+19.9 | -13.7 |
| 2002 | 66.0%(3,575) | 32.3%(1,751) | D+33.7 | +37.1 |
| 2000 | 47.2%(3,317) | 50.7%(3,560) | R+3.5 | -26.6 |
| 1996 | 60.6%(3,783) | 37.6%(2,343) | D+23.1 | +30.6 |
Governor Elections
| Year | Democrat | Republican | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 37.8%(2,709) | 60.2%(4,314) | R+22.4 | -3.9 |
| 2018 | 38.9%(2,631) | 57.4%(3,881) | R+18.5 | -13.9 |
| 2014 | 45.7%(2,459) | 50.4%(2,708) | R+4.6 | +26.2 |
| 2010 | 33.1%(1,825) | 64.0%(3,521) | R+30.8 | -44.8 |
| 2006 | 56.3%(3,737) | 42.2%(2,805) | D+14.0 | +10.2 |
| 2002 | 51.1%(2,821) | 47.3%(2,611) | D+3.8 | +21.8 |
| 1998 | 41.0%(2,210) | 59.0%(3,179) | R+18.0 | +11.5 |
| 1994 | 35.3%(1,812) | 64.7%(3,326) | R+29.5 | -38.1 |
| 1990 | 54.0%(2,305) | 45.4%(1,937) | D+8.6 | -46.3 |
| 1986 | 77.3%(3,199) | 22.4%(927) | D+54.9 | +49.6 |