Tuscola County, Michigan: Northern Rural Secular
Michigan · Presidential Elections 1892–2024
R+42.9
2024 Margin
R+3.6%
2020→2024 Swing
R since 2000
Voting Streak
🌾 N. Rural
Classification
53K
Population
Tuscola County, Michigan voted R+42.9 for Donald Trump in 2024, with Trump receiving 21,764 votes (70.79%). This represented a R+3.6% swing toward Republicans compared to 2020. The county has voted Republican in every presidential election since 2000.
Electoral Behavior
🌾
Northern Rural SecularView all
Rural counties in the Upper Midwest (MN/IA/WI/IN/MO/IL/MI) that voted for Obama in 2008 but have swung dramatically toward Republicans. These historically Democratic, secular farming communities have realigned.
Volatility
8.5
Elasticity
Sticky
Trend
-1.6/yr (red)
Quick Stats
2024 ResultR+42.9
2020→2024 SwingR+3.6%
Voting StreakR since 2000
Elections on Record34
Demographics
Population53,323
Median Age
44.7(US: 38.4)
College (BA+)
20.6%(US: 47.9%)
Median Income
$59,815(US: $78k)
White (non-Hisp)
92.0%(US: 57.5%)
Hispanic
3.6%(US: 18.6%)
Homeownership
85.2%(US: 64.2%)
Poverty Rate
12.6%(US: 12.4%)
Veterans
7.3%(US: 6.4%)
Presidential Elections
| Year | Democrat | Republican | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 27.9%(8,562) | 70.8%(21,764) | R+42.9 | -3.6 |
| 2020 | 29.6%(8,712) | 68.9%(20,297) | R+39.3 | -2.0 |
| 2016 | 28.6%(7,429) | 66.0%(17,102) | R+37.3 | -26.5 |
| 2012 | 43.8%(11,425) | 54.5%(14,240) | R+10.8 | -9.9 |
| 2008 | 48.6%(13,503) | 49.4%(13,740) | R+0.8 | +8.9 |
| 2004 | 44.6%(12,631) | 54.3%(15,389) | R+9.7 | -0.1 |
| 2000 | 44.0%(10,845) | 53.6%(13,213) | R+9.6 | -14.7 |
| 1996 | 45.5%(10,314) | 40.4%(9,154) | D+5.1 | +3.1 |
| 1992 | 37.0%(9,138) | 35.0%(8,636) | D+2.0 | +16.3 |
| 1988 | 42.6%(9,060) | 56.9%(12,093) | R+14.3 | +26.2 |
Senate Elections
| Year | Democrat | Republican | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 29.0%(8,754) | 68.0%(20,503) | R+39.0 | -5.5 |
| 2020 | 32.3%(9,422) | 65.8%(19,174) | R+33.5 | -9.7 |
| 2018 | 36.8%(8,197) | 60.6%(13,495) | R+23.8 | -23.7 |
| 2014 | 47.7%(8,471) | 47.8%(8,481) | R+0.1 | -12.8 |
| 2012 | 54.4%(13,922) | 41.6%(10,666) | D+12.7 | -5.3 |
| 2008 | 57.0%(15,408) | 39.0%(10,540) | D+18.0 | +8.5 |
| 2006 | 53.8%(12,100) | 44.3%(9,959) | D+9.5 | -9.5 |
| 2002 | 58.5%(11,023) | 39.5%(7,448) | D+19.0 | +35.9 |
| 2000 | 40.2%(9,762) | 57.1%(13,863) | R+16.9 | -25.3 |
| 1996 | 53.4%(11,515) | 44.9%(9,698) | D+8.4 | +28.9 |
Governor Elections
| Year | Democrat | Republican | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 35.0%(8,418) | 62.8%(15,078) | R+27.7 | -5.2 |
| 2018 | 37.1%(8,272) | 59.6%(13,286) | R+22.5 | -9.8 |
| 2014 | 42.1%(7,530) | 54.8%(9,804) | R+12.7 | +22.0 |
| 2010 | 31.4%(5,850) | 66.1%(12,314) | R+34.7 | -39.3 |
| 2006 | 51.5%(11,634) | 46.9%(10,592) | D+4.6 | +18.8 |
| 2002 | 42.1%(8,097) | 56.3%(10,824) | R+14.2 | +19.2 |
| 1998 | 33.3%(6,027) | 66.7%(12,074) | R+33.4 | +1.6 |
| 1994 | 32.5%(5,862) | 67.5%(12,188) | R+35.0 | -28.0 |
| 1990 | 46.1%(7,046) | 53.2%(8,118) | R+7.0 | -48.1 |
| 1986 | 70.4%(9,453) | 29.3%(3,933) | D+41.1 | +46.4 |