Carlton County, Minnesota: Northern Rural Secular
Minnesota · Presidential Elections 1892–2024
R+2.5
2024 Margin
R+4.1%
2020→2024 Swing
R since 2024
Voting Streak
🌾 N. Rural
Classification
36K
Population
Carlton County, Minnesota voted R+2.5 for Donald Trump in 2024, with Trump receiving 10,435 votes (50.13%). This represented a R+4.1% swing toward Republicans compared to 2020. The county has voted Republican in every presidential election since 2024.
Electoral Behavior
🌾
Northern Rural SecularView all
Rural counties in the Upper Midwest (MN/IA/WI/IN/MO/IL/MI) that voted for Obama in 2008 but have swung dramatically toward Republicans. These historically Democratic, secular farming communities have realigned.
Volatility
8.4
Elasticity
Sticky
Trend
-1.0/yr
Quick Stats
2024 ResultR+2.5
2020→2024 SwingR+4.1%
Voting StreakR since 2024
Elections on Record34
Demographics
Population36,207
Median Age
41.6(US: 38.4)
College (BA+)
33.9%(US: 47.9%)
Median Income
$74,660(US: $78k)
White (non-Hisp)
87.3%(US: 57.5%)
Hispanic
1.9%(US: 18.6%)
Black
1.6%(US: 12.3%)
Homeownership
79.3%(US: 64.2%)
Poverty Rate
11.1%(US: 12.4%)
Veterans
7.8%(US: 6.4%)
Presidential Elections
| Year | Democrat | Republican | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 47.6%(9,905) | 50.1%(10,435) | R+2.5 | -4.1 |
| 2020 | 49.6%(10,098) | 48.1%(9,791) | D+1.5 | -0.1 |
| 2016 | 46.5%(8,460) | 44.8%(8,160) | D+1.6 | -24.4 |
| 2012 | 61.8%(11,389) | 35.7%(6,586) | D+26.1 | -0.8 |
| 2008 | 62.3%(11,501) | 35.5%(6,549) | D+26.8 | +0.6 |
| 2004 | 62.5%(11,462) | 36.2%(6,642) | D+26.3 | +6.1 |
| 2000 | 57.2%(8,620) | 37.0%(5,578) | D+20.2 | -8.7 |
| 1996 | 57.9%(8,052) | 29.0%(4,034) | D+28.9 | +3.0 |
| 1992 | 52.5%(7,736) | 26.6%(3,922) | D+25.9 | -4.9 |
| 1988 | 64.8%(8,790) | 34.1%(4,626) | D+30.7 | +0.4 |
Senate Elections
| Year | Democrat | Republican | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 54.2%(11,056) | 42.4%(8,650) | D+11.8 | +8.4 |
| 2020 | 48.0%(9,577) | 44.6%(8,906) | D+3.4 | -24.2 |
| 2018 | 62.2%(10,200) | 34.6%(5,682) | D+27.5 | -1.0 |
| 2014 | 62.2%(8,633) | 33.6%(4,666) | D+28.6 | -20.2 |
| 2012 | 72.6%(13,054) | 23.9%(4,290) | D+48.7 | +30.1 |
| 2008 | 51.9%(9,521) | 33.3%(6,099) | D+18.7 | -21.4 |
| 2006 | 68.4%(9,701) | 28.3%(4,015) | D+40.1 | +15.9 |
| 2002 | 60.0%(8,529) | 35.8%(5,083) | D+24.2 | -1.6 |
| 2000 | 60.8%(9,148) | 34.9%(5,261) | D+25.8 | -3.7 |
| 1996 | 61.8%(8,577) | 32.2%(4,477) | D+29.5 | +17.0 |
Governor Elections
| Year | Democrat | Republican | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 0.0%(0) | 45.8%(7,274) | R+45.8 | -60.7 |
| 2018 | 55.5%(9,051) | 40.6%(6,621) | D+14.9 | -9.7 |
| 2014 | 59.1%(8,176) | 34.5%(4,776) | D+24.6 | -2.8 |
| 2010 | 58.7%(8,010) | 31.3%(4,274) | D+27.4 | -2.0 |
| 2006 | 61.5%(8,721) | 32.2%(4,561) | D+29.3 | +1.7 |
| 2002 | 57.6%(8,198) | 30.0%(4,267) | D+27.6 | +58.7 |
| 1998 | 0.0%(0) | 31.0%(3,929) | R+31.0 | -35.2 |
| 1994 | 49.6%(5,892) | 45.4%(5,394) | D+4.2 | -45.3 |
| 1990 | 73.4%(8,806) | 23.8%(2,860) | D+49.5 | +0.1 |
| 1986 | 74.5%(7,081) | 25.0%(2,381) | D+49.4 | -9.8 |