
Safe Republican — shifted 6.8pp toward Republicans in 2024 — 40 presidential elections on record
| Group | % |
|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13) | 50.2% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(11) | 23.3% |
▶Black / African American(8) | 22.2% |
▶Asian(5) | 0.6% |
▶Middle Eastern / North African(1) | 0.1% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(3) | 0.6% |
▶Native Hawaiian / Pacific Islander(1) | 0.1% |
Multiracial / Other | 3.1% |
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents |
|---|---|---|
| Evangelical Protestant | 23.1% | 56.1% |
| Black Protestant | 7.5% | 18.1% |
| Mainline Protestant | 6.4% | 15.6% |
| Other | 2.5% | 6.1% |
| Catholic | 1.7% | 4.0% |
| LDS (Mormon) | 1.3% | 3.1% |
| Non-religious | 58.8% | — |
| Year | Result |
|---|---|
| 2024 | Trump+28.9 |
| 2020 | Trump+22.1 |
| 2016 | Trump+18.9 |
| 2012 | Romney+11.6 |
| 2008 | McCain+9.4 |
| 2004 | Bush+16.2 |
| 2000 | Bush+9.5 |
| 1996 | Clinton+6.0 |
| 1992 | Clinton+11.1 |
1996: Perot 6.2% · 1992: Perot 11.9%
Contextual statewide polling for North Carolina. County pages stay rooted in county returns, but live statewide polling helps frame the current cycle.
Roy Cooper leads at 50.0%