Butler County, Pennsylvania: Professional Migration
Pennsylvania · Presidential Elections 1892–2024
R+32.1
2024 Margin
D+0.4%
2020→2024 Swing
R since 1968
Voting Streak
🏘️ Prof. Migration
Classification
194K
Population
Butler County, Pennsylvania voted R+32.1 for Donald Trump in 2024, with Trump receiving 79,773 votes (65.45%). This represented a D+0.4% swing toward Democrats compared to 2020. The county has voted Republican in every presidential election since 1968.
Electoral Behavior
🏘️
Professional MigrationView all
Growing metro exurbs and suburbs receiving educated professionals from cities. These areas are shifting blue as remote work and urban flight bring liberal voters. Examples: Atlanta suburbs, DFW exurbs, Denver metro.
Volatility
5.0
Elasticity
Moderate
Trend
-0.9/yr
Quick Stats
2024 ResultR+32.1
2020→2024 SwingD+0.4%
Voting StreakR since 1968
Elections on Record34
Demographics
Population193,763
Median Age
43.4(US: 38.4)
College (BA+)
52.9%(US: 47.9%)
Median Income
$82,932(US: $78k)
White (non-Hisp)
93.0%(US: 57.5%)
Hispanic
1.9%(US: 18.6%)
Black
1.2%(US: 12.3%)
Asian
1.4%(US: 5.7%)
Homeownership
76.4%(US: 64.2%)
Poverty Rate
8.0%(US: 12.4%)
Veterans
7.3%(US: 6.4%)
Presidential Elections
| Year | Democrat | Republican | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 33.4%(40,661) | 65.5%(79,773) | R+32.1 | +0.4 |
| 2020 | 33.1%(37,508) | 65.6%(74,359) | R+32.5 | +4.0 |
| 2016 | 29.1%(28,586) | 65.7%(64,431) | R+36.6 | -1.8 |
| 2012 | 31.8%(28,550) | 66.6%(59,761) | R+34.8 | -7.4 |
| 2008 | 35.7%(32,260) | 63.1%(57,074) | R+27.4 | +1.7 |
| 2004 | 35.2%(30,090) | 64.3%(54,959) | R+29.1 | -2.3 |
| 2000 | 35.3%(25,037) | 62.1%(44,009) | R+26.8 | -10.2 |
| 1996 | 36.3%(21,990) | 52.9%(32,038) | R+16.6 | -14.4 |
| 1992 | 36.5%(22,303) | 38.7%(23,656) | R+2.2 | +8.5 |
| 1988 | 44.1%(22,341) | 54.8%(27,777) | R+10.7 | +1.5 |
Senate Elections
| Year | Democrat | Republican | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 33.9%(40,973) | 63.9%(77,328) | R+30.1 | -5.1 |
| 2022 | 36.3%(33,921) | 61.3%(57,168) | R+24.9 | -4.9 |
| 2018 | 39.0%(31,010) | 59.0%(46,875) | R+20.0 | +14.9 |
| 2016 | 29.7%(28,715) | 64.6%(62,425) | R+34.9 | -5.9 |
| 2012 | 34.5%(30,620) | 63.5%(56,320) | R+29.0 | +7.9 |
| 2010 | 31.5%(20,471) | 68.5%(44,429) | R+36.9 | -26.6 |
| 2006 | 44.8%(27,818) | 55.1%(34,253) | R+10.3 | +17.0 |
| 2004 | 30.4%(25,507) | 57.7%(48,413) | R+27.3 | +0.6 |
| 2000 | 35.0%(24,816) | 62.9%(44,568) | R+27.9 | +11.0 |
| 1998 | 28.1%(12,504) | 67.0%(29,798) | R+38.9 | -11.8 |
Governor Elections
| Year | Democrat | Republican | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 42.9%(40,065) | 55.1%(51,546) | R+12.3 | +3.2 |
| 2018 | 41.3%(32,891) | 56.8%(45,242) | R+15.5 | +12.5 |
| 2014 | 36.0%(20,171) | 64.0%(35,818) | R+27.9 | +15.9 |
| 2010 | 28.1%(18,404) | 71.9%(47,151) | R+43.9 | -22.4 |
| 2006 | 39.2%(24,936) | 60.7%(38,613) | R+21.5 | +5.9 |
| 2002 | 34.9%(18,145) | 62.3%(32,400) | R+27.4 | +0.0 |
| 1998 | 23.8%(10,593) | 51.2%(22,839) | R+27.5 | -10.6 |
| 1994 | 27.8%(13,514) | 44.7%(21,746) | R+16.9 | -50.1 |
| 1990 | 66.6%(25,329) | 33.4%(12,715) | D+33.2 | +38.6 |
| 1986 | 46.7%(17,697) | 52.1%(19,750) | R+5.4 | +2.1 |