Cumberland County, Pennsylvania: Professional Migration
Pennsylvania · Presidential Elections 1892–2024
R+9.4
2024 Margin
D+1.2%
2020→2024 Swing
R since 1968
Voting Streak
🏘️ Prof. Migration
Classification
259K
Population
Cumberland County, Pennsylvania voted R+9.4 for Donald Trump in 2024, with Trump receiving 80,267 votes (53.85%). This represented a D+1.2% swing toward Democrats compared to 2020. The county has voted Republican in every presidential election since 1968.
Electoral Behavior
🏘️
Professional MigrationView all
Growing metro exurbs and suburbs receiving educated professionals from cities. These areas are shifting blue as remote work and urban flight bring liberal voters. Examples: Atlanta suburbs, DFW exurbs, Denver metro.
Volatility
2.6
Elasticity
Responsive
Trend
Stable
Quick Stats
2024 ResultR+9.4
2020→2024 SwingD+1.2%
Voting StreakR since 1968
Elections on Record34
Demographics
Population259,469
Median Age
40.3(US: 38.4)
College (BA+)
55.2%(US: 47.9%)
Median Income
$82,849(US: $78k)
White (non-Hisp)
81.9%(US: 57.5%)
Hispanic
4.9%(US: 18.6%)
Black
4.3%(US: 12.3%)
Asian
5.0%(US: 5.7%)
Homeownership
71.4%(US: 64.2%)
Poverty Rate
7.8%(US: 12.4%)
Veterans
8.4%(US: 6.4%)
Presidential Elections
| Year | Democrat | Republican | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 44.5%(66,255) | 53.9%(80,267) | R+9.4 | +1.2 |
| 2020 | 44.0%(62,245) | 54.5%(77,212) | R+10.6 | +7.2 |
| 2016 | 38.1%(47,085) | 55.9%(69,076) | R+17.8 | +0.6 |
| 2012 | 39.9%(44,367) | 58.3%(64,809) | R+18.4 | -4.8 |
| 2008 | 42.6%(48,306) | 56.3%(63,739) | R+13.6 | +14.4 |
| 2004 | 35.8%(37,928) | 63.8%(67,648) | R+28.0 | -1.1 |
| 2000 | 35.2%(31,053) | 62.2%(54,802) | R+26.9 | -7.7 |
| 1996 | 36.4%(28,749) | 55.6%(43,943) | R+19.2 | +0.6 |
| 1992 | 31.5%(26,635) | 51.4%(43,447) | R+19.9 | +11.4 |
| 1988 | 34.0%(24,613) | 65.3%(47,292) | R+31.3 | +7.9 |
Senate Elections
| Year | Democrat | Republican | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 43.9%(64,713) | 53.0%(78,178) | R+9.1 | -3.6 |
| 2022 | 46.0%(53,278) | 51.5%(59,663) | R+5.5 | +1.0 |
| 2018 | 45.7%(47,738) | 52.2%(54,525) | R+6.5 | +15.5 |
| 2016 | 36.7%(44,796) | 58.8%(71,638) | R+22.0 | -8.4 |
| 2012 | 42.1%(46,294) | 55.7%(61,296) | R+13.6 | +17.4 |
| 2010 | 34.5%(27,829) | 65.5%(52,890) | R+31.1 | -23.8 |
| 2006 | 46.2%(36,638) | 53.5%(42,410) | R+7.3 | +31.8 |
| 2004 | 26.2%(27,268) | 65.3%(67,880) | R+39.1 | -7.0 |
| 2000 | 32.5%(28,080) | 64.6%(55,799) | R+32.1 | +14.1 |
| 1998 | 25.2%(13,276) | 71.3%(37,643) | R+46.2 | -18.7 |
Governor Elections
| Year | Democrat | Republican | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 52.9%(61,319) | 45.1%(52,280) | D+7.8 | +4.6 |
| 2018 | 50.5%(52,807) | 47.4%(49,496) | D+3.2 | +19.6 |
| 2014 | 41.8%(31,311) | 58.2%(43,625) | R+16.4 | +22.9 |
| 2010 | 30.4%(24,531) | 69.7%(56,284) | R+39.3 | -22.3 |
| 2006 | 41.3%(32,737) | 58.3%(46,189) | R+17.0 | +8.1 |
| 2002 | 36.3%(24,237) | 61.4%(40,966) | R+25.1 | +29.7 |
| 1998 | 16.2%(8,610) | 70.9%(37,801) | R+54.8 | -33.5 |
| 1994 | 29.1%(19,003) | 50.4%(32,903) | R+21.3 | -53.4 |
| 1990 | 66.1%(32,487) | 33.9%(16,692) | D+32.1 | +57.8 |
| 1986 | 36.8%(19,591) | 62.5%(33,285) | R+25.7 | -6.1 |