How did TX-10, Texas vote in the 2024 presidential election?

TX-10, Texas voted Republican in 2024 with a margin of R+6.7. The Democratic candidate received 201,554 votes and the Republican candidate received 231,119 out of 440,520 total votes cast, a 5.1-point shift toward Republicans from 2020.

What is TX-10, Texas's political history?

TX-10, Texas has 5 presidential elections on record, spanning 2008 to 2024. It has voted Republican in every presidential election since 2008. The largest single-election swing was 11.6 points in 2016.

What are the demographics of TX-10, Texas?

TX-10, Texas has a population of 797,070 according to the 2020 Census. The racial composition is 54.9% non-Hispanic white, 25.7% Hispanic, 9.9% Black. About 41% of residents hold a bachelor's degree or higher. Median household income is $84,909.

Texas's 10th Congressional District

Texas · Latest: 2024↓ R+0.6 vs 2022

Safe Republican — flipped 1 time in 25 elections

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POPULATION
797K
HOUSE MARGIN
R+29.6
2024
PRES MARGIN
R+6.7
2024
LEAN
Lean R
COLLEGE+
41%

Place Story

What defines Texas's 10th Congressional District

Methodology

Leans Republican since 2008
- Lean R
- 5 straight R wins
Competitive with a modest baseline — persuasion matters on the margin.
Ticket-splitting: President ran 22.9pp ahead of House
- Divergence 22.9pp in 2024
Persuadable voters present — downballot races can run independent of presidential.
Biggest swing: D+11.6 in 2016
- 2012 → 2016
Volatile behavior — treat historical margins with caution.

District in State Context

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Precinct Deep Dive

2024 / 2020 precinct vintages

See how each split precinct fragment inside TX-10 voted, swung, and lines up demographically.

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Historian Query

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“How has Texas's 10th Congressional District voted in House elections since 2000?”

Race & Ancestry

Who Lives Here

A race-first Census view with ancestry expansion where source coverage is strong enough to support detail.

TX-10Census ACS 2024Ancestry detail available

Census race profile

Major Census race and ethnicity groups shown as a share of total population.

Expand rows for ancestry detail

White (Non-Hispanic) 54.9%Hispanic 25.7%Black 9.9%Asian 5.5%Multiracial 3.3%Native American 0.6%

Group	TX-10	State	National
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13)	54.9%	39.1%	57.4%
▶Hispanic / Latino(19)	25.7%	39.7%	19.3%
▶Black / African American(13)	9.9%	12.2%	12.2%
▶Asian(6)	5.5%	5.6%	6.0%
Multiracial / Other	3.3%	2.5%	4.0%
▶Middle Eastern / North African(11)	1.3%	—	0.9%
▶Native American / Alaska Native(2)	0.6%	0.7%	0.9%

Method notes

Census treats race and Hispanic/Latino origin as separate questions. Race categories other than Hispanic reflect total populations (small Hispanic overlap in Black, Asian, AIAN, NHPI). “Multiracial / Other” is derived as a non-overlapping remainder.

Click rows to expand ancestry detail. Ancestry from ACS B04006, B03001, B02020, B02016. Totals may differ from race — individuals can report multiple ancestries.

Black / African American (estimated remainder) is derived as Black population share minus reported Sub-Saharan African and West Indian ancestry. It is shown as an estimated ancestry detail, not a standalone Census ancestry category.

Texas's 10th Congressional District

District in State Context

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Who Lives Here

Demographics

Turnout in TX-10

How competitive is TX-10?

Do voters in TX-10 split their tickets?

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