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      Data: MIT Election Lab, VEST, Census Bureau
      Home/Elections/2026/Governor/Minnesota
      2026 ForecastSafe D
      2026·Governor·Minnesota

      Minnesota Governor

      Open Seat

      Tim Walz (D) retiring

      Race Analysis

      Walz stepped aside; Klobuchar stepped in. She routinely overperforms in Minnesota and this is a great national environment for Democrats. Could win by 20+.

      Updated 2026-02-18

      Candidates & Primaries

      Democratic Candidates

      Amy KlobucharDDeclared

      Senior senator from Minnesota; Walz stepped aside

      A-4W-0L4 races
      Full profile →

      Republican Candidates

      TBDRDeclared

      GOP challenger expected

      State Demographics

      Minnesota vs. National · Pop. 5.7M

      White (non-Hispanic)75.9%
      National: 57.4%
      Black7.0%
      National: 12.2%
      Hispanic/Latino6.4%
      National: 19.3%
      Asian5.1%
      National: 6.0%
      College Degree39.4%
      National: 35.6%
      Median Income$90,564
      National: $83,960
      Median Age39
      National: 39.1

      Seat History

      Governor in Minnesota

      2022
      Timothy J WalzDEM
      D+7.7
      2018
      Timothy J WalzDEM
      D+11.4
      2014
      Mark DaytonDEM
      D+5.6
      2010
      Mark DaytonDEM
      D+0.4
      2006
      Tim PawlentyREP
      R+1.0
      2002
      Tim PawlentyREP
      R+7.9
      1998
      OtherOTH
      R+34.3
      1994
      Arne CarlsonREP
      R+28.6
      1990
      Arne CarlsonREP
      R+3.3
      1986
      Rudy PerpichDEM
      D+12.9
      1982
      Rudy PerpichDEM
      D+18.6
      1978
      Albert H. QuieREP
      R+7.0
      1974
      Wendell R. AndersonDEM
      D+33.5
      1970
      Wendell R. AndersonDEM
      D+8.5
      1966
      Harold LevanderREP
      R+5.6
      View all Governor history for Minnesota →

      Also in Minnesota, 2026

      U.S. Senate
      Safe D      ← 2026 Forecast Overview
      ← 2026 Forecast OverviewMinnesota profileAll elections