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      Data: MIT Election Lab, VEST, Census Bureau
      Home/Elections/2026/US Senate/New Hampshire
      2026 ForecastLikely D
      2026·US Senate·New Hampshire

      New Hampshire US Senate

      Open Seat

      Jeanne Shaheen (D) retiring

      Senate Class 2

      Race Analysis

      Pappas is reasonably strong, but does face potentially strong challengers. But this year, much rather be D than R.

      Updated 2026-02-18

      State Demographics

      New Hampshire vs. National · Pop. 1.4M

      White (non-Hispanic)86.9%
      National: 57.4%
      Black1.5%
      National: 12.2%
      Hispanic/Latino4.7%
      National: 19.3%
      Asian2.6%
      National: 6.0%
      College Degree40.7%
      National: 35.6%
      Median Income$99,670
      National: $83,960
      Median Age43.5
      National: 39.1

      Seat History

      US Senate in New Hampshire(Class I)

      2022
      Maggie HassanDEM
      D+9.2
      2020
      Jeanne ShaheenDEM
      D+15.7
      2016
      Maggie HassanDEM
      D+0.1
      2014
      Jeanne ShaheenDEM
      D+3.2
      2010
      Kelly AyotteREP
      R+23.2
      2008
      Jeanne ShaheenDEM
      D+6.3
      2004
      Judd GreggREP
      R+32.5
      2002
      John E SununuREP
      R+4.4
      1998
      Judd GreggREP
      R+39.6
      1996
      Bob SmithREP
      R+3.0
      1992
      Judd GreggREP
      R+2.8
      1990
      Bob SmithREP
      R+33.8
      1986
      Warren B. RudmanREP
      R+30.6
      1984
      Gordon J HumphreyREP
      R+17.8
      1980
      Warren B. RudmanREP
      R+4.3
      View all US Senate history for New Hampshire →

      Also in New Hampshire, 2026

      Governor
      Tilt R      ← 2026 Forecast Overview
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