Primary Election Analysis
Deep analytical features connecting primary election outcomes to general election results, tracking candidates across multiple cycles, and monitoring the impact of runoff elections on nomination outcomes.
Primary-to-General Correlation
Does a dominant primary performance predict general election success? This scatter plot maps primary winner vote share against the general election margin for contested presidential primaries.
566 data points across 7 cycles
Contested primaries with general election results
Candidate Journeys
Track any candidate across their full primary career. Search by name to see every primary appearance, vote share, and win/loss record in a chronological timeline.
Search by name
Covers presidential and House primaries, 1956-2024
Runoff Tracker
When primaries go to runoff, does the original frontrunner hold on? Track every runoff election and see which outcomes flipped.
85% of 2372 runoffs changed outcomes
2024 upsets in runoff elections