Akashic EdgeAKASHIC EDGE
ElectionsCandidates
HistorianCartographer2026 ForecastArticlesAPIPricing

Latest Articles

    View all articles →

    Browse by Category

      Data Tools

      • Elections
      • Candidates
      • The Historian
      • The Cartographer
      • American Nations
      • States & Counties
      • Congressional Districts

      About

      Akashic HQ provides deep political data analysis covering 165 years of U.S. elections.

      • Data Sources & Methodology
      • Pricing
      • API Documentation
      • Contact

      © 2026 Akashic HQ. All rights reserved.

      Data: MIT Election Lab, VEST, Census Bureau
      Home/Elections/2022/US House/New York/NY-21
      2022·US House·New York·District profile →

      New York District 21 US House

      Winner
      REP
      Elise M Stefanik
      52.0%150,595 votes
      Runner-up
      DEM
      Matt Castelli
      38.9%112,645 votes
      Margin
      R+13.1
      289,617 total votes
      7 candidates289,617 total votes
      CandidatePartyVotes ▼%Vote Share
      Elise M StefanikREP✓
      		REP150,59552.0%
      Matt CastelliDEM
      		DEM112,64538.9%
      Elise M StefanikOTH
      		OTH17,9846.2%
      BlankOTH
      		OTH4,4711.5%
      ModerateOTH
      		OTH3,7761.3%
      ScatteringOTH
      		OTH950.0%
      VoidOTH
      		OTH510.0%

      Presidential Vote by District

      5 elections · 2008–2024 · 118th Congress boundaries
      Latest (2024)R+20.7
      Shift vs 2020↓ R+5.0
      R+20EvenD+2020082012201620202024
      YearDem %Rep %MarginTurnout
      202439.4%60.1%R+20.7357,046
      202041.2%56.9%R+15.7355,821
      201637.2%55.7%R+18.6313,631
      201251.2%48.8%D+2.5288,918
      200849.6%48.1%D+1.6324,916

      Seat History

      US House in New York

      2024
      Elise M StefanikREP
      R+20.6
      Redistricted
      2020
      Elise M StefanikREP
      R+14.5
      2018
      Elise M StefanikREP
      R+9.8
      2016
      Elise M StefanikREP
      R+26.6
      2014
      Elise M StefanikREP
      R+14.6
      2012
      William L OwensDEM
      D+5.0
      Redistricted
      2010
      Paul D TonkoDEM
      D+23.8
      2008
      Paul D TonkoDEM
      D+23.9
      2006
      Michael R McNultyDEM
      D+40.2
      2004
      Michael R McNultyDEM
      D+27.9
      2002
      Michael R McNultyDEM
      D+31.7
      Redistricted
      2000
      Michael R McNultyDEM
      D+36.4
      1998
      Michael R McNultyDEM
      D+33.2
      1996
      Michael R McNultyDEM
      D+27.8
      View all US House history for New York →

      Candidates

      Elise M StefanikOTH
      Record6W-12L
      Avg Margin---
      Career2014-2024
      US House
      Full profile →
      VoidOTH
      Record0W-55L
      Avg Margin---
      Career2020-2024
      US House
      Full profile →
      BlankOTH
      Record0W-54L
      Avg Margin---
      Career2022-2024
      US House
      Full profile →
      ScatteringWRI
      Record0W-17890L
      Avg MarginD+7.3
      Career1968-2024
      US House / State House / State Senate
      Full profile →
      Matt CastelliDEM
      Record0W-1L
      Avg Margin---
      Career2022-2022
      US House
      Full profile →
      ModerateOTH
      Record0W-1L
      Avg Margin---
      Career2022-2022
      US House
      Full profile →

      Also in New York, 2022

      US Senate1 contest →Governor1 contest →
      ← All 2022 US House races2022 overviewNew York profileAll elections