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ElectoralCalculator

Model any scenario. Assign states. See your path to 270. The most powerful what-if analysis tool for elections, powered by real historical data.

Electoral Calculator
226
Democrat
270
219
Republican

Click states to assign: UnassignedDRUnassigned

Pre-Built Scenarios

Start from historical patterns or create your own. Each scenario shows detailed breakdowns and paths to victory.

Blue Wall Holds

Democrats sweep PA, MI, WI

D 270 - R 268Medium

Sun Belt Sweep

Republicans take AZ, GA, NV, NC

D 226 - R 312Medium-High

2020 Redux

Biden coalition reassembles

D 306 - R 232Low-Medium

Realignment

Working class shift continues

D 251 - R 287Medium

Powerful Simulation Tools

Everything you need to model, analyze, and share electoral scenarios.

State-by-State Assignment

Click any state to assign it. See instant EV calculations as you build scenarios.

Paths to 270

Automatic calculation of all viable paths. See which states are must-wins.

Historical Comparison

Compare your scenario to past elections. See how coalitions have shifted.

Margin Sliders

Adjust swing by percentage points. See how small shifts change outcomes.

Share Scenarios

Generate shareable links. Embed your scenarios in articles or social posts.

Export Data

Download results as CSV or JSON. Export maps as high-resolution images.

Built for Every Use Case

Campaign Strategists

  • Model resource allocation scenarios
  • Identify must-win states
  • Plan for contingencies

Political Analysts

  • Visualize coalition shifts
  • Compare historical patterns
  • Create scenario projections

Journalists

  • Generate embeddable maps
  • Show readers possible outcomes
  • Illustrate path to victory

Educators

  • Teach electoral college mechanics
  • Demonstrate swing state importance
  • Interactive classroom exercises

Grounded in History

Every scenario you build is backed by 160+ years of electoral data. See how your predictions compare to historical patterns and understand the coalitions that shaped American politics.

County-level results from 1860-2024
Demographic correlations and trends
Realignment tracking since 1964
Recent Elections
YearDRMargin
2024226312R+86
2020306232D+74
2016227304R+77
2012332206D+126
2008365173D+192

Model Your Predictions

Build scenarios, test hypotheses, and share your electoral analysis.