How did the Lynchburg, VA metro area vote in the 2024 presidential election?

The Lynchburg, VA metro area leaned Republican in 2024 with a margin of R+37.7 percentage points, aggregated across 5 constituent counties.

What is the population of the Lynchburg, VA metro area?

The Lynchburg, VA metropolitan statistical area has a population of approximately 263,798 across 5 counties according to Census data.

How many counties are in the Lynchburg, VA metro area?

The Lynchburg, VA MSA comprises 5 counties.

Lynchburg, VA

Latest: 2024↓ R+5.6 vs 2020

Safe Republican — shifted 5.6pp toward Republicans in 2024 — 264K residents — 5 counties

Ask Historian Open in Explore Compare

Race & ancestry

Group	%
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13)	73.8%
▶Hispanic / Latino(19)	3.6%
▶Black / African American(10)	16.1%
▶Asian(6)	1.4%
▶Middle Eastern / North African(7)	0.3%
▶Native American / Alaska Native(2)	0.2%
▶Native Hawaiian / Pacific Islander(3)	0.1%
Multiracial / Other	4.7%

View full demographics →

Religious adherence

Tradition	% Pop	% Adherents
Evangelical Protestant	38.0%	68.4%
Mainline Protestant	9.6%	17.3%
Catholic	4.6%	8.2%
Other	1.9%	3.3%
Black Protestant	1.4%	2.6%
LDS (Mormon)	0.8%	1.4%
Non-religious	44.5%	—

View full religion →

Presidential results

Year	Result
2024	Trump+37.7
2020	Trump+32.1
2016	Trump+35.1
2012	Romney+29.6
2008	McCain+24.3
2004	Bush+29.6
2000	Bush+24.1
1996	Dole+11.7
1992	Bush+16.9

View full election history →

Similarity Explorer

Similar metro areas

Nearest neighbors matched on the same place-page feature set used across the dossier system.

8 visible matches

Knoxville, TN

Educated rural competitive 2

R+35.5

Similarity score89%

Greenville-Anderson-Greer, SC

Small-town rural republican 2

R+33.0

Similarity score88%

Pensacola-Ferry Pass-Brent, FL

Small-town rural republican 2

R+32.4

Similarity score86%

Roanoke, VA

Small-town rural republican 2

R+18.6

Similarity score85%

Springfield, MO

Small-town rural republican 2

R+35.2

Similarity score84%

Birmingham, AL

Educated rural competitive 2

R+19.8

Similarity score84%

Jefferson City, MO

Small-town rural republican 3

R+43.5

Similarity score83%

New Bern, NC

Small-town rural republican 2

R+22.1

Similarity score83%

Constituent Geography

Counties in Lynchburg, VA

2024 presidential results across the counties that make up this geography.

Sort:

County	Pop.	Margin	Dem	Rep	Total
Bedford	81K	R+50.4	12,414	38,017	50,830
Lynchburg City	79K	R+7.9	16,664	19,574	36,715
Campbell	55K	R+48.6	7,890	23,032	31,171
Amherst	31K	R+36.5	5,429	11,742	17,303
Appomattox	17K	R+51.0	2,324	7,243	9,642

5 countiesTotal votes: 145,661

Historian Query

Ask the Historian

Explore Lynchburg, VA's political evolution with the Historian

“How has the Lynchburg, VA metro area voted in presidential elections?”

Race & Ancestry

Who Lives Here

A race-first Census view with ancestry expansion where source coverage is strong enough to support detail.

Lynchburg, VACensus ACS 2024Ancestry detail available

Census race profile

Major Census race and ethnicity groups shown as a share of total population.

Expand rows for ancestry detail

White (Non-Hispanic) 73.8%Black 16.1%Multiracial 4.7%Hispanic 3.6%Asian 1.4%

Group	Lynchburg, VA	National
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13)	73.8%	57.4%
▶Black / African American(10)	16.1%	12.2%
Multiracial / Other	4.7%	4.0%
▶Hispanic / Latino(19)	3.6%	19.3%
▶Asian(6)	1.4%	6.0%
▶Middle Eastern / North African(7)	0.3%	0.9%
▶Native American / Alaska Native(2)	0.2%	0.9%
▶Native Hawaiian / Pacific Islander(3)	0.1%	0.2%

Method notes

Census treats race and Hispanic/Latino origin as separate questions. Race categories other than Hispanic reflect total populations (small Hispanic overlap in Black, Asian, AIAN, NHPI). “Multiracial / Other” is derived as a non-overlapping remainder.

Click rows to expand ancestry detail. Ancestry from ACS B04006, B03001, B02020, B02016. Totals may differ from race — individuals can report multiple ancestries.

Black / African American (estimated remainder) is derived as Black population share minus reported Sub-Saharan African and West Indian ancestry. It is shown as an estimated ancestry detail, not a standalone Census ancestry category.

MENA estimated from ancestry reporting — Census does not have a separate MENA race category. Not shown in bar (overlaps with other race groups).

Religious Adherents

Population that are religious adherents:

55.5%(146.5K people)

U.S. Religion Census 2020

Browse all religions

Tradition	% Pop	% Adherents	US Pop	US Adherents
Evangelical Protestant	38.0%	68.4%	—	—
Mainline Protestant	9.6%	17.3%	—	—
Catholic	4.6%	8.2%	—	—
Other	1.9%	3.3%	—	—
Black Protestant	1.4%	2.6%	—	—
LDS (Mormon)	0.8%	1.4%	—	—
Non-religiousPopulation	44.5%	—	—	—

Click the chevron to expand denominations. Tradition and denomination rows label both share of total population and share of all religious adherents. Non-religious is shown as a share of total population only.

Who lives in the Lynchburg, VA metro area? 263,798 residents across 5 counties.

Demographic Comparison

Demographics

Read this geography's profile in three layers: local, state (where available), and national baseline.

Lynchburg, VA vs National264K residents

Population & electorate

Scale, voting-age share, and this geography's footprint inside the national electorate.

Total population

Local vs state vs U.S.

264K

local

264KNational 334.9M

Share of U.S. population

Local vs state vs U.S.

0.08%

local

0.08%National 100%

Voting-age population

Local vs state vs U.S.

75.4%

local

75.4%National 75.7%

Economic profile

Income, attainment, and ownership indicators that often shape coalition structure and turnout behavior.

Median household income

Local vs state vs U.S.

$68,077

local

$68,077National $83,960

Poverty rate

Local vs state vs U.S.

12.5%

local

12.5%National 12.5%

College degree

Local vs state vs U.S.

31.6%

local

31.6%National 35.6%

Homeownership

Local vs state vs U.S.

71.6%

local

71.6%National 65.2%

Community profile

Age structure, language use, and nativity signals that explain how this geography differs from state and nation.

Median age

Local vs state vs U.S.

40.1 yrs

local

40.1 yrsNational 39.1 yrs

Age 18–29

Local vs state vs U.S.

19.0%

local

19.0%National 15.7%

Age 65+

Local vs state vs U.S.

19.8%

local

19.8%National 17.0%

Foreign born

Local vs state vs U.S.

3.4%

local

3.4%National 14.1%

Non-English at home

Local vs state vs U.S.

4.8%

local

4.8%National 22.2%

English only

Local vs state vs U.S.

95.2%

local

95.2%National 77.8%

Upgrade Path

Unlock Metro Area Analytics

Advance from the public dossier into precinct-level, insight-rich district intelligence.

Target plan Pro$33/mo

Precinct data, Smart Insights, full history, and export controls tailored to place pages.

Precinct-Level Data

See results for every neighborhood and voting precinct

Smart Insights

Automated highlights from recent election patterns

Full Historical Access

165 years of election data at every level of geography

CSV Exports

Download any table or chart as a CSV file

Upgrade to Pro$33/mo