St. Francis County, Arkansas: Black Belt
Arkansas · Presidential Elections 1892–2024
D+0.7
2024 Margin
R+4.3%
2020→2024 Swing
D since 1988
Voting Streak
🗳️ Black Belt
Classification
23K
Population
St. Francis County, Arkansas voted D+0.7 for Kamala Harris in 2024, with Harris receiving 2,953 votes (49.39%). This represented a R+4.3% swing toward Republicans compared to 2020. The county has voted Democratic in every presidential election since 1988.
Electoral Behavior
🗳️
Black BeltView all
Southern counties with 40%+ Black population, a distinct region shaped by the history of slavery and the plantation economy. Voting patterns are heavily influenced by racial demographics.
Volatility
5.4
Elasticity
Inelastic
Trend
-1.0/yr (red)
Quick Stats
2024 ResultD+0.7
2020→2024 SwingR+4.3%
Voting StreakD since 1988
Elections on Record34
Demographics
Population23,090
Median Age
38.8(US: 38.4)
College (BA+)
18.5%(US: 47.9%)
Median Income
$39,822(US: $78k)
White (non-Hisp)
39.5%(US: 57.5%)
Hispanic
3.3%(US: 18.6%)
Black
54.4%(US: 12.3%)
Homeownership
55.2%(US: 64.2%)
Poverty Rate
27.8%(US: 12.4%)
Veterans
5.5%(US: 6.4%)
Presidential Elections
| Year | Democrat | Republican | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 49.4%(2,953) | 48.6%(2,909) | D+0.7 | -4.3 |
| 2020 | 50.7%(3,604) | 45.6%(3,242) | D+5.1 | -6.4 |
| 2016 | 55.3%(4,031) | 43.8%(3,195) | D+11.5 | -7.0 |
| 2012 | 58.7%(4,910) | 40.3%(3,368) | D+18.4 | +1.9 |
| 2008 | 57.7%(5,486) | 41.2%(3,917) | D+16.5 | -3.0 |
| 2004 | 59.3%(5,684) | 39.8%(3,815) | D+19.5 | +1.0 |
| 2000 | 58.7%(4,986) | 40.2%(3,414) | D+18.5 | -16.7 |
| 1996 | 64.3%(5,562) | 29.2%(2,523) | D+35.2 | +4.5 |
| 1992 | 61.6%(6,548) | 30.9%(3,289) | D+30.6 | +26.6 |
| 1988 | 51.9%(4,656) | 47.9%(4,298) | D+4.0 | +8.9 |
Senate Elections
| Year | Democrat | Republican | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2014 | 62.0%(3,752) | 36.4%(2,198) | D+25.7 | -62.3 |
| 2008 | 88.0%(7,958) | 0.0%(0) | D+88.0 | +54.5 |
| 2002 | 66.7%(5,065) | 33.3%(2,525) | D+33.5 | +10.4 |
| 1996 | 61.5%(5,355) | 38.5%(3,348) | D+23.1 | -76.9 |
| 1990 | 100.0%(5,432) | 0.0%(0) | D+100.0 | +61.4 |
| 1984 | 69.3%(7,029) | 30.7%(3,118) | D+38.5 | -36.0 |
| 1978 | 85.3%(5,466) | 10.8%(693) | D+74.5 | +25.5 |
| 1972 | 74.5%(5,921) | 25.5%(2,025) | D+49.0 | -51.0 |
| 1954 | 100.0%(3,354) | 0.0%(0) | D+100.0 | +1.2 |
| 1948 | 98.8%(2,008) | 0.0%(0) | D+98.8 | -1.2 |
Governor Elections
| Year | Democrat | Republican | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2018 | 52.0%(3,019) | 45.8%(2,660) | D+6.2 | -19.3 |
| 2014 | 61.7%(3,681) | 36.2%(2,161) | D+25.5 | -30.7 |
| 2010 | 77.4%(5,361) | 21.2%(1,469) | D+56.2 | +10.3 |
| 2006 | 71.5%(4,939) | 25.6%(1,769) | D+45.9 | +23.3 |
| 2002 | 61.3%(4,646) | 38.7%(2,934) | D+22.6 | +15.2 |
| 1998 | 53.3%(4,099) | 45.9%(3,529) | D+7.4 | -15.9 |
| 1994 | 61.7%(4,805) | 38.3%(2,986) | D+23.4 | -1.2 |
| 1990 | 62.3%(4,426) | 37.7%(2,683) | D+24.5 | -10.1 |
| 1986 | 67.3%(5,409) | 32.7%(2,624) | D+34.7 | -10.0 |
| 1984 | 72.3%(7,724) | 27.7%(2,958) | D+44.6 | +27.9 |
Primary Election History
| Year | Party | Winner | Runner-up | Nominee? |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | GOP | Donald Trump(84.5%) | Nikki Haley(9.7%) | ✓ |
| 2020 | Dem | Joe Biden(55.0%) | Michael Bloomberg(17.1%) | ✓ |
| 2016 | Dem | Hillary Clinton(80.8%) | Bernie Sanders(15.0%) | ✓ |
| 2012 | Dem | Barack Obama(61.4%) | Other(38.6%) | — |
| 2008 | Dem | Hillary Clinton(50.6%) | Barack Obama(47.5%) | ✗ |
✓ = County picked eventual party nominee