Marin County, California: Professional Migration
California · Presidential Elections 1876–2024
D+63.9
2024 Margin
R+2.6%
2020→2024 Swing
D since 1984
Voting Streak
🏘️ Prof. Migration
Classification
262K
Population
Marin County, California voted D+63.9 for Kamala Harris in 2024, with Harris receiving 116,152 votes (80.59%). This represented a R+2.6% swing toward Republicans compared to 2020. The county has voted Democratic in every presidential election since 1984.
Electoral Behavior
🏘️
Professional MigrationView all
Growing metro exurbs and suburbs receiving educated professionals from cities. These areas are shifting blue as remote work and urban flight bring liberal voters. Examples: Atlanta suburbs, DFW exurbs, Denver metro.
Volatility
8.5
Elasticity
Responsive
Trend
+1.1/yr (blue)
Quick Stats
2024 ResultD+63.9
2020→2024 SwingR+2.6%
Voting StreakD since 1984
Elections on Record38
Demographics
Population262,321
Median Age
47.4(US: 38.4)
College (BA+)
87.8%(US: 47.9%)
Median Income
$142,019(US: $78k)
White (non-Hisp)
66.6%(US: 57.5%)
Hispanic
19.0%(US: 18.6%)
Black
2.4%(US: 12.3%)
Asian
6.3%(US: 5.7%)
Homeownership
63.9%(US: 64.2%)
Poverty Rate
7.8%(US: 12.4%)
Veterans
3.8%(US: 6.4%)
Presidential Elections
| Year | Democrat | Republican | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 80.6%(116,152) | 16.7%(24,054) | D+63.9 | -2.6 |
| 2020 | 82.3%(128,288) | 15.8%(24,612) | D+66.5 | +4.7 |
| 2016 | 77.3%(108,707) | 15.5%(21,771) | D+61.8 | +10.6 |
| 2012 | 74.1%(99,896) | 22.9%(30,880) | D+51.2 | -6.4 |
| 2008 | 77.8%(109,320) | 20.2%(28,384) | D+57.6 | +9.8 |
| 2004 | 73.2%(99,070) | 25.4%(34,378) | D+47.8 | +11.9 |
| 2000 | 64.3%(79,135) | 28.3%(34,872) | D+35.9 | +6.1 |
| 1996 | 58.0%(67,406) | 28.2%(32,714) | D+29.9 | -5.1 |
| 1992 | 58.3%(76,158) | 23.3%(30,479) | D+35.0 | +15.8 |
| 1988 | 58.9%(69,394) | 39.7%(46,855) | D+19.1 | +18.6 |
Senate Elections
| Year | Democrat | Republican | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2018 | 65.3%(80,319) | 0.0%(0) | D+65.3 | +5.1 |
| 2012 | 80.1%(105,153) | 19.9%(26,105) | D+60.2 | -0.5 |
| 2006 | 77.6%(82,025) | 16.8%(17,788) | D+60.7 | +21.8 |
| 2000 | 65.3%(79,421) | 26.4%(32,077) | D+38.9 | -7.5 |
| 1994 | 70.9%(74,664) | 24.4%(25,733) | D+46.4 | -0.2 |
| 1992 | 71.3%(92,205) | 24.6%(31,846) | D+46.6 | +35.3 |
| 1988 | 54.4%(63,101) | 43.0%(49,942) | D+11.3 | +15.6 |
| 1982 | 45.8%(44,933) | 50.0%(49,107) | R+4.3 | +6.4 |
| 1976 | 43.0%(43,499) | 53.7%(54,322) | R+10.7 | -16.0 |
| 1970 | 51.3%(39,343) | 46.0%(35,262) | D+5.3 | +15.3 |
Governor Elections
| Year | Democrat | Republican | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2018 | 79.5%(103,671) | 20.5%(26,750) | D+59.0 | +0.3 |
| 2014 | 79.3%(69,751) | 20.6%(18,147) | D+58.7 | +15.4 |
| 2010 | 70.4%(80,236) | 27.1%(30,920) | D+43.3 | +41.4 |
| 2006 | 47.7%(50,441) | 45.8%(48,439) | D+1.9 | -26.5 |
| 2002 | 56.2%(49,512) | 27.9%(24,520) | D+28.4 | -13.6 |
| 1998 | 68.9%(70,108) | 26.9%(27,392) | D+42.0 | +31.9 |
| 1994 | 53.4%(56,665) | 43.4%(45,983) | D+10.1 | -12.4 |
| 1990 | 59.2%(57,255) | 36.8%(35,563) | D+22.4 | +37.7 |
| 1986 | 41.2%(37,686) | 56.5%(51,693) | R+15.3 | -25.7 |
| 1982 | 53.2%(52,534) | 42.8%(42,260) | D+10.4 | -11.9 |
Primary Election History
| Year | Party | Winner | Runner-up | Nominee? |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | GOP | Donald Trump(61.3%) | Nikki Haley(34.0%) | ✓ |
| 2020 | Dem | Joe Biden(30.0%) | Bernie Sanders(24.1%) | ✓ |
| 2016 | Dem | Hillary Clinton(56.4%) | Bernie Sanders(43.3%) | ✓ |
| 2016 | GOP | Donald Trump(65.9%) | John Kasich(25.0%) | ✓ |
| 2012 | Dem | Barack Obama(100.0%) | Other(0.0%) | — |
| 2008 | Dem | Barack Obama(56.5%) | Hillary Clinton(37.9%) | ✓ |
✓ = County picked eventual party nominee