Cumberland County, Illinois: Northern Rural Secular
Illinois · Presidential Elections 1892–2024
R+61.9
2024 Margin
R+2.7%
2020→2024 Swing
R since 1996
Voting Streak
🌾 N. Rural
Classification
10K
Population
Cumberland County, Illinois voted R+61.9 for Donald Trump in 2024, with Trump receiving 4,627 votes (80.2%). This represented a R+2.7% swing toward Republicans compared to 2020. The county has voted Republican in every presidential election since 1996.
Electoral Behavior
🌾
Northern Rural SecularView all
Rural counties in the Upper Midwest (MN/IA/WI/IN/MO/IL/MI) that voted for Obama in 2008 but have swung dramatically toward Republicans. These historically Democratic, secular farming communities have realigned.
Volatility
7.0
Elasticity
Sticky
Trend
-2.2/yr (red)
Quick Stats
2024 ResultR+61.9
2020→2024 SwingR+2.7%
Voting StreakR since 1996
Elections on Record34
Demographics
Population10,450
Median Age
42.6(US: 38.4)
College (BA+)
24.5%(US: 47.9%)
Median Income
$71,274(US: $78k)
White (non-Hisp)
96.0%(US: 57.5%)
Homeownership
83.5%(US: 64.2%)
Poverty Rate
9.9%(US: 12.4%)
Veterans
6.1%(US: 6.4%)
Presidential Elections
| Year | Democrat | Republican | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 18.4%(1,059) | 80.2%(4,627) | R+61.9 | -2.7 |
| 2020 | 19.5%(1,142) | 78.7%(4,601) | R+59.1 | -2.1 |
| 2016 | 18.5%(1,031) | 75.5%(4,206) | R+57.0 | -21.7 |
| 2012 | 31.0%(1,641) | 66.3%(3,509) | R+35.3 | -14.6 |
| 2008 | 38.6%(2,055) | 59.3%(3,156) | R+20.7 | +9.5 |
| 2004 | 34.4%(1,862) | 64.6%(3,497) | R+30.2 | -8.2 |
| 2000 | 37.6%(1,870) | 59.6%(2,964) | R+22.0 | -16.9 |
| 1996 | 39.7%(1,776) | 44.8%(2,002) | R+5.1 | -9.9 |
| 1992 | 40.6%(2,111) | 35.8%(1,860) | D+4.8 | +21.4 |
| 1988 | 41.4%(1,904) | 58.0%(2,667) | R+16.6 | +10.1 |
Senate Elections
| Year | Democrat | Republican | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 23.6%(1,123) | 75.7%(3,607) | R+52.1 | -2.1 |
| 2020 | 23.5%(1,357) | 73.6%(4,248) | R+50.1 | -5.2 |
| 2016 | 24.2%(1,329) | 69.0%(3,797) | R+44.9 | -18.3 |
| 2014 | 34.0%(1,334) | 60.5%(2,376) | R+26.5 | +20.3 |
| 2010 | 22.4%(944) | 69.2%(2,916) | R+46.8 | -62.9 |
| 2008 | 55.5%(2,895) | 39.4%(2,053) | D+16.1 | +14.1 |
| 2004 | 49.3%(2,598) | 47.3%(2,492) | D+2.0 | -5.1 |
| 2002 | 52.5%(2,092) | 45.3%(1,807) | D+7.2 | +31.5 |
| 1998 | 36.7%(1,433) | 61.1%(2,384) | R+24.4 | -15.6 |
| 1996 | 43.9%(1,923) | 52.7%(2,307) | R+8.8 | -7.1 |
Governor Elections
| Year | Democrat | Republican | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 18.2%(890) | 78.7%(3,853) | R+60.5 | -18.0 |
| 2018 | 22.4%(969) | 65.0%(2,809) | R+42.6 | +3.5 |
| 2014 | 23.6%(926) | 69.7%(2,739) | R+46.1 | +1.0 |
| 2010 | 22.6%(970) | 69.6%(2,993) | R+47.1 | -21.0 |
| 2006 | 30.2%(1,179) | 56.3%(2,196) | R+26.1 | -5.5 |
| 2002 | 37.9%(1,534) | 58.4%(2,367) | R+20.6 | -58.9 |
| 1998 | 68.8%(2,764) | 30.4%(1,221) | D+38.4 | +85.1 |
| 1994 | 25.5%(1,027) | 72.2%(2,909) | R+46.7 | -46.5 |
| 1990 | 49.3%(2,256) | 49.5%(2,265) | R+0.2 | +45.6 |
| 1986 | 8.9%(391) | 54.7%(2,401) | R+45.8 | -27.6 |
Primary Election History
| Year | Party | Winner | Runner-up | Nominee? |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | GOP | Donald Trump(89.5%) | Nikki Haley(6.8%) | ✓ |
| 2020 | Dem | Joe Biden(65.4%) | Bernie Sanders(28.6%) | ✓ |
| 2016 | Dem | Bernie Sanders(56.3%) | Hillary Clinton(39.6%) | ✗ |
| 2016 | GOP | Ted Cruz(40.3%) | Donald Trump(40.3%) | ✗ |
| 2008 | Dem | Barack Obama(50.1%) | Hillary Clinton(42.2%) | ✓ |
✓ = County picked eventual party nominee