Stephenson County, Illinois: Northern Rural Secular
Illinois · Presidential Elections 1892–2024
R+19.4
2024 Margin
R+3.7%
2020→2024 Swing
R since 2012
Voting Streak
🌾 N. Rural
Classification
45K
Population
Stephenson County, Illinois voted R+19.4 for Donald Trump in 2024, with Trump receiving 12,347 votes (58.81%). This represented a R+3.7% swing toward Republicans compared to 2020. The county has voted Republican in every presidential election since 2012.
Electoral Behavior
🌾
Northern Rural SecularView all
Rural counties in the Upper Midwest (MN/IA/WI/IN/MO/IL/MI) that voted for Obama in 2008 but have swung dramatically toward Republicans. These historically Democratic, secular farming communities have realigned.
Volatility
5.7
Elasticity
Moderate
Trend
-0.4/yr
Quick Stats
2024 ResultR+19.4
2020→2024 SwingR+3.7%
Voting StreakR since 2012
Elections on Record34
Demographics
Population44,630
Median Age
45.6(US: 38.4)
College (BA+)
29.3%(US: 47.9%)
Median Income
$57,527(US: $78k)
White (non-Hisp)
80.0%(US: 57.5%)
Hispanic
5.3%(US: 18.6%)
Black
10.0%(US: 12.3%)
Homeownership
71.0%(US: 64.2%)
Poverty Rate
13.1%(US: 12.4%)
Veterans
7.0%(US: 6.4%)
Presidential Elections
| Year | Democrat | Republican | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 39.4%(8,278) | 58.8%(12,347) | R+19.4 | -3.7 |
| 2020 | 41.0%(9,055) | 56.6%(12,521) | R+15.7 | +0.6 |
| 2016 | 38.2%(7,768) | 54.5%(11,083) | R+16.3 | -14.7 |
| 2012 | 48.1%(10,165) | 49.8%(10,512) | R+1.6 | -8.3 |
| 2008 | 52.5%(11,349) | 45.9%(9,909) | D+6.7 | +22.1 |
| 2004 | 41.8%(8,913) | 57.3%(12,212) | R+15.5 | -1.8 |
| 2000 | 41.6%(8,062) | 55.3%(10,715) | R+13.7 | -4.2 |
| 1996 | 39.4%(7,145) | 48.9%(8,871) | R+9.5 | -4.4 |
| 1992 | 36.5%(7,899) | 41.6%(9,005) | R+5.1 | +15.4 |
| 1988 | 39.4%(7,460) | 59.9%(11,342) | R+20.5 | +15.1 |
Senate Elections
| Year | Democrat | Republican | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 42.3%(7,043) | 56.4%(9,393) | R+14.1 | -0.8 |
| 2020 | 41.5%(9,043) | 54.8%(11,954) | R+13.3 | +6.8 |
| 2016 | 36.9%(7,411) | 57.0%(11,453) | R+20.1 | -3.9 |
| 2014 | 39.5%(5,728) | 55.8%(8,080) | R+16.2 | +14.9 |
| 2010 | 28.7%(4,174) | 59.9%(8,711) | R+31.2 | -52.3 |
| 2008 | 58.6%(12,033) | 37.5%(7,703) | D+21.1 | +0.0 |
| 2004 | 59.1%(12,244) | 38.0%(7,882) | D+21.1 | +22.9 |
| 2002 | 48.1%(6,656) | 50.0%(6,914) | R+1.9 | +38.8 |
| 1998 | 28.2%(3,730) | 68.9%(9,117) | R+40.7 | -21.9 |
| 1996 | 38.2%(6,826) | 56.9%(10,183) | R+18.8 | -8.7 |
Governor Elections
| Year | Democrat | Republican | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 37.2%(6,303) | 58.5%(9,897) | R+21.2 | -3.9 |
| 2018 | 35.6%(5,760) | 52.9%(8,560) | R+17.3 | +15.4 |
| 2014 | 31.1%(4,558) | 63.8%(9,338) | R+32.6 | +2.0 |
| 2010 | 28.6%(4,209) | 63.3%(9,293) | R+34.6 | -30.0 |
| 2006 | 38.8%(5,163) | 43.4%(5,773) | R+4.6 | +14.6 |
| 2002 | 38.3%(5,358) | 57.5%(8,047) | R+19.2 | +7.8 |
| 1998 | 35.6%(4,697) | 62.6%(8,251) | R+27.0 | +29.1 |
| 1994 | 20.4%(2,773) | 76.5%(10,372) | R+56.0 | -34.9 |
| 1990 | 39.0%(5,616) | 60.1%(8,654) | R+21.1 | +32.2 |
| 1986 | 5.2%(776) | 58.5%(8,662) | R+53.3 | -36.2 |
Primary Election History
| Year | Party | Winner | Runner-up | Nominee? |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | GOP | Donald Trump(78.8%) | Nikki Haley(16.0%) | ✓ |
| 2020 | Dem | Joe Biden(65.2%) | Bernie Sanders(29.3%) | ✓ |
| 2016 | Dem | Bernie Sanders(50.0%) | Hillary Clinton(49.0%) | ✗ |
| 2016 | GOP | Ted Cruz(35.8%) | Donald Trump(33.6%) | ✗ |
| 2008 | Dem | Barack Obama(64.9%) | Hillary Clinton(32.9%) | ✓ |
✓ = County picked eventual party nominee