St. Joseph County, Indiana: Declining Industrial Metro
Indiana · Presidential Elections 1892–2024
D+1.5
2024 Margin
R+4.4%
2020→2024 Swing
D since 2008
Voting Streak
🏭 Rust Belt
Classification
273K
Population
St. Joseph County, Indiana voted D+1.5 for Kamala Harris in 2024, with Harris receiving 55,215 votes (49.82%). This represented a R+4.4% swing toward Republicans compared to 2020. The county has voted Democratic in every presidential election since 2008.
Electoral Behavior
🏭
Declining Industrial MetroView all
Rust Belt urban centers that voted for Obama but have shifted dramatically toward Republicans. Former manufacturing hubs experiencing economic decline and Democratic erosion.
Volatility
4.1
Elasticity
Highly elastic
Trend
Stable
Quick Stats
2024 ResultD+1.5
2020→2024 SwingR+4.4%
Voting StreakD since 2008
Elections on Record34
Demographics
Population272,912
Median Age
36.7(US: 38.4)
College (BA+)
45.5%(US: 47.9%)
Median Income
$61,877(US: $78k)
White (non-Hisp)
69.6%(US: 57.5%)
Hispanic
10.2%(US: 18.6%)
Black
13.2%(US: 12.3%)
Asian
2.5%(US: 5.7%)
Homeownership
68.8%(US: 64.2%)
Poverty Rate
14.6%(US: 12.4%)
Veterans
5.9%(US: 6.4%)
Presidential Elections
| Year | Democrat | Republican | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 49.8%(55,215) | 48.4%(53,585) | D+1.5 | -4.4 |
| 2020 | 52.0%(59,896) | 46.1%(53,164) | D+5.8 | +5.6 |
| 2016 | 46.7%(52,247) | 46.5%(52,019) | D+0.2 | -3.3 |
| 2012 | 50.9%(56,460) | 47.4%(52,578) | D+3.5 | -13.6 |
| 2008 | 58.0%(68,710) | 41.0%(48,510) | D+17.1 | +19.5 |
| 2004 | 48.5%(52,637) | 50.9%(55,254) | R+2.4 | -2.5 |
| 2000 | 48.9%(47,703) | 48.8%(47,581) | D+0.1 | -7.8 |
| 1996 | 49.0%(45,704) | 41.1%(38,281) | D+8.0 | +1.0 |
| 1992 | 44.2%(46,203) | 37.3%(38,934) | D+7.0 | +8.4 |
| 1988 | 49.1%(48,056) | 50.6%(49,481) | R+1.5 | +5.3 |
Senate Elections
| Year | Democrat | Republican | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 48.4%(53,253) | 49.6%(54,590) | R+1.2 | +4.7 |
| 2022 | 46.1%(33,013) | 52.0%(37,276) | R+6.0 | -24.5 |
| 2018 | 57.6%(53,758) | 39.1%(36,456) | D+18.6 | +10.1 |
| 2016 | 51.2%(56,749) | 42.7%(47,353) | D+8.5 | -14.5 |
| 2012 | 59.6%(65,689) | 36.7%(40,418) | D+22.9 | +24.9 |
| 2010 | 47.3%(37,563) | 49.3%(39,111) | R+1.9 | +86.9 |
| 2006 | 0.0%(0) | 88.8%(52,437) | R+88.8 | -129.7 |
| 2004 | 70.0%(75,340) | 29.2%(31,372) | D+40.9 | +69.0 |
| 2000 | 35.5%(33,378) | 63.5%(59,818) | R+28.1 | -65.7 |
| 1998 | 68.3%(47,214) | 30.7%(21,229) | D+37.6 | +61.8 |
Governor Elections
| Year | Democrat | Republican | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 49.8%(54,911) | 47.2%(52,056) | D+2.6 | +13.1 |
| 2020 | 42.4%(48,610) | 52.9%(60,696) | R+10.5 | -18.7 |
| 2016 | 52.5%(57,835) | 44.4%(48,839) | D+8.2 | -3.0 |
| 2012 | 54.3%(59,411) | 43.1%(47,182) | D+11.2 | +8.5 |
| 2008 | 50.5%(59,259) | 47.8%(56,176) | D+2.6 | -5.8 |
| 2004 | 53.7%(58,327) | 45.3%(49,198) | D+8.4 | -18.6 |
| 2000 | 63.1%(60,608) | 36.1%(34,699) | D+27.0 | +9.8 |
| 1996 | 58.0%(52,968) | 40.9%(37,319) | D+17.1 | -23.8 |
| 1992 | 70.3%(69,742) | 29.4%(29,164) | D+40.9 | +23.2 |
| 1988 | 58.9%(56,515) | 41.1%(39,484) | D+17.7 | +7.6 |
Primary Election History
| Year | Party | Winner | Runner-up | Nominee? |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | GOP | Donald Trump(77.1%) | Nikki Haley(22.9%) | ✓ |
| 2020 | Dem | Joe Biden(77.9%) | Bernie Sanders(9.7%) | ✓ |
| 2016 | Dem | Bernie Sanders(52.8%) | Hillary Clinton(47.2%) | ✗ |
| 2016 | GOP | Donald Trump(50.8%) | Ted Cruz(40.6%) | ✓ |
| 2008 | Dem | Barack Obama(52.5%) | Hillary Clinton(47.5%) | ✓ |
✓ = County picked eventual party nominee