Vermillion County, Indiana: Northern Rural Secular
Indiana · Presidential Elections 1892–2024
R+44.7
2024 Margin
R+4.1%
2020→2024 Swing
R since 2012
Voting Streak
🌾 N. Rural
Classification
15K
Population
Vermillion County, Indiana voted R+44.7 for Donald Trump in 2024, with Trump receiving 5,174 votes (71.21%). This represented a R+4.1% swing toward Republicans compared to 2020. The county has voted Republican in every presidential election since 2012.
Electoral Behavior
🌾
Northern Rural SecularView all
Rural counties in the Upper Midwest (MN/IA/WI/IN/MO/IL/MI) that voted for Obama in 2008 but have swung dramatically toward Republicans. These historically Democratic, secular farming communities have realigned.
Volatility
10.4
Elasticity
Sticky
Trend
-2.1/yr (red)
Quick Stats
2024 ResultR+44.7
2020→2024 SwingR+4.1%
Voting StreakR since 2012
Elections on Record34
Demographics
Population15,439
Median Age
42.4(US: 38.4)
College (BA+)
21.8%(US: 47.9%)
Median Income
$59,567(US: $78k)
White (non-Hisp)
95.7%(US: 57.5%)
Hispanic
1.4%(US: 18.6%)
Homeownership
74.2%(US: 64.2%)
Poverty Rate
13.3%(US: 12.4%)
Veterans
7.4%(US: 6.4%)
Presidential Elections
| Year | Democrat | Republican | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 26.5%(1,928) | 71.2%(5,174) | R+44.7 | -4.1 |
| 2020 | 28.7%(2,145) | 69.3%(5,184) | R+40.6 | -5.7 |
| 2016 | 29.8%(2,081) | 64.7%(4,513) | R+34.9 | -28.1 |
| 2012 | 45.1%(2,979) | 51.9%(3,426) | R+6.8 | -20.7 |
| 2008 | 56.1%(4,003) | 42.2%(3,010) | D+13.9 | +15.5 |
| 2004 | 48.8%(3,424) | 50.4%(3,536) | R+1.6 | -5.2 |
| 2000 | 50.8%(3,370) | 47.2%(3,130) | D+3.6 | -10.2 |
| 1996 | 48.9%(3,251) | 35.1%(2,334) | D+13.8 | -2.7 |
| 1992 | 46.6%(3,652) | 30.1%(2,360) | D+16.5 | +11.7 |
| 1988 | 52.0%(4,044) | 47.3%(3,674) | D+4.8 | +14.1 |
Senate Elections
| Year | Democrat | Republican | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 28.5%(1,930) | 68.7%(4,645) | R+40.1 | -3.7 |
| 2022 | 30.4%(1,541) | 66.9%(3,386) | R+36.5 | -22.1 |
| 2018 | 39.3%(2,198) | 53.7%(3,002) | R+14.4 | -13.7 |
| 2016 | 46.3%(3,197) | 47.1%(3,247) | R+0.7 | -16.9 |
| 2012 | 54.5%(3,543) | 38.3%(2,490) | D+16.2 | +3.5 |
| 2010 | 53.2%(2,613) | 40.5%(1,991) | D+12.7 | +95.6 |
| 2006 | 0.0%(0) | 82.9%(3,380) | R+82.9 | -139.8 |
| 2004 | 78.0%(5,468) | 21.1%(1,480) | D+56.9 | +73.0 |
| 2000 | 41.1%(2,577) | 57.2%(3,585) | R+16.1 | -81.8 |
| 1998 | 82.2%(4,195) | 16.5%(842) | D+65.7 | +78.7 |
Governor Elections
| Year | Democrat | Republican | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 29.6%(2,052) | 63.2%(4,382) | R+33.6 | +12.5 |
| 2020 | 20.7%(1,531) | 66.9%(4,938) | R+46.1 | -47.0 |
| 2016 | 48.6%(3,339) | 47.7%(3,279) | D+0.9 | -14.7 |
| 2012 | 55.3%(3,639) | 39.8%(2,617) | D+15.5 | -4.0 |
| 2008 | 58.2%(4,164) | 38.7%(2,769) | D+19.5 | +0.2 |
| 2004 | 58.8%(4,121) | 39.5%(2,769) | D+19.3 | -21.0 |
| 2000 | 69.3%(4,566) | 29.0%(1,912) | D+40.3 | +7.8 |
| 1996 | 65.2%(4,306) | 32.8%(2,163) | D+32.5 | -21.1 |
| 1992 | 76.0%(5,924) | 22.4%(1,746) | D+53.6 | +9.8 |
| 1988 | 71.9%(5,608) | 28.1%(2,192) | D+43.8 | +27.0 |
Primary Election History
| Year | Party | Winner | Runner-up | Nominee? |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | GOP | Donald Trump(86.3%) | Nikki Haley(13.7%) | ✓ |
| 2020 | Dem | Joe Biden(69.7%) | Bernie Sanders(10.2%) | ✓ |
| 2016 | Dem | Bernie Sanders(54.9%) | Hillary Clinton(45.1%) | ✗ |
| 2016 | GOP | Donald Trump(69.9%) | Ted Cruz(24.1%) | ✓ |
| 2008 | Dem | Hillary Clinton(66.0%) | Barack Obama(34.0%) | ✗ |
✓ = County picked eventual party nominee