Knott County, Kentucky: Northern Rural Secular
Kentucky · Presidential Elections 1892–2024
R+59.0
2024 Margin
R+5.2%
2020→2024 Swing
R since 2008
Voting Streak
🌾 N. Rural
Classification
14K
Population
Knott County, Kentucky voted R+59.0 for Donald Trump in 2024, with Trump receiving 4,732 votes (78.67%). This represented a R+5.2% swing toward Republicans compared to 2020. The county has voted Republican in every presidential election since 2008.
Electoral Behavior
🌾
Northern Rural SecularView all
Rural counties in the Upper Midwest (MN/IA/WI/IN/MO/IL/MI) that voted for Obama in 2008 but have swung dramatically toward Republicans. These historically Democratic, secular farming communities have realigned.
Volatility
23.5
Elasticity
Highly elastic
Trend
-4.2/yr (red)
Quick Stats
2024 ResultR+59.0
2020→2024 SwingR+5.2%
Voting StreakR since 2008
Elections on Record34
Demographics
Population14,251
Median Age
44.2(US: 38.4)
College (BA+)
27.4%(US: 47.9%)
Median Income
$38,336(US: $78k)
White (non-Hisp)
96.5%(US: 57.5%)
Homeownership
70.8%(US: 64.2%)
Poverty Rate
25.9%(US: 12.4%)
Veterans
4.0%(US: 6.4%)
Presidential Elections
| Year | Democrat | Republican | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 19.6%(1,181) | 78.7%(4,732) | R+59.0 | -5.2 |
| 2020 | 22.6%(1,412) | 76.5%(4,780) | R+53.9 | +0.1 |
| 2016 | 21.6%(1,245) | 75.6%(4,357) | R+54.0 | -6.4 |
| 2012 | 24.9%(1,420) | 72.5%(4,130) | R+47.6 | -39.7 |
| 2008 | 44.9%(2,612) | 52.8%(3,070) | R+7.9 | -35.4 |
| 2004 | 63.4%(4,685) | 35.8%(2,648) | D+27.6 | -8.4 |
| 2000 | 67.3%(4,349) | 31.4%(2,029) | D+35.9 | -19.2 |
| 1996 | 73.3%(4,842) | 18.2%(1,201) | D+55.1 | -3.0 |
| 1992 | 75.0%(5,500) | 17.0%(1,243) | D+58.1 | +7.6 |
| 1988 | 74.9%(5,185) | 24.4%(1,691) | D+50.5 | +6.3 |
Senate Elections
| Year | Democrat | Republican | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 32.1%(1,540) | 67.9%(3,252) | R+35.7 | +7.3 |
| 2020 | 26.8%(1,664) | 69.8%(4,331) | R+43.0 | -29.9 |
| 2016 | 43.4%(2,369) | 56.6%(3,085) | R+13.1 | +8.0 |
| 2014 | 38.3%(1,661) | 59.4%(2,578) | R+21.1 | -27.1 |
| 2010 | 52.9%(3,067) | 46.9%(2,720) | D+6.0 | -18.0 |
| 2008 | 62.0%(3,617) | 38.0%(2,217) | D+24.0 | -38.4 |
| 2004 | 81.2%(5,811) | 18.8%(1,345) | D+62.4 | +30.1 |
| 2002 | 66.2%(4,115) | 33.9%(2,106) | D+32.3 | -10.3 |
| 1998 | 70.3%(3,986) | 27.8%(1,573) | D+42.6 | -2.7 |
| 1996 | 71.2%(3,924) | 26.0%(1,430) | D+45.3 | -27.6 |
Governor Elections
| Year | Democrat | Republican | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 54.5%(1,847) | 45.5%(1,545) | D+8.9 | +7.9 |
| 2019 | 49.4%(2,096) | 48.3%(2,052) | D+1.0 | +17.4 |
| 2015 | 39.5%(1,141) | 55.9%(1,612) | R+16.3 | -28.7 |
| 2011 | 51.8%(1,422) | 39.5%(1,082) | D+12.4 | -22.7 |
| 2007 | 67.5%(2,972) | 32.5%(1,429) | D+35.1 | +8.8 |
| 2003 | 63.1%(2,691) | 36.9%(1,572) | D+26.3 | +17.9 |
| 1999 | 43.1%(2,006) | 34.7%(1,616) | D+8.4 | -47.0 |
| 1995 | 77.7%(4,580) | 22.3%(1,314) | D+55.4 | -13.0 |
| 1991 | 84.2%(4,293) | 15.8%(805) | D+68.4 | +3.0 |
| 1987 | 82.7%(2,463) | 17.3%(515) | D+65.4 | +10.9 |
Primary Election History
| Year | Party | Winner | Runner-up | Nominee? |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | GOP | Donald Trump(95.2%) | Other(3.5%) | ✓ |
| 2020 | Dem | Joe Biden(53.0%) | Other(25.4%) | ✓ |
| 2016 | Dem | Bernie Sanders(58.9%) | Hillary Clinton(30.8%) | ✗ |
| 2016 | GOP | Donald Trump(41.1%) | Ted Cruz(33.3%) | ✓ |
| 2008 | Dem | Hillary Clinton(89.3%) | Barack Obama(6.5%) | ✗ |
✓ = County picked eventual party nominee