Caldwell County, Missouri: Northern Rural Secular
Missouri · Presidential Elections 1892–2024
R+61.3
2024 Margin
R+1.1%
2020→2024 Swing
R since 2000
Voting Streak
🌾 N. Rural
Classification
9K
Population
Caldwell County, Missouri voted R+61.3 for Donald Trump in 2024, with Trump receiving 3,771 votes (80.18%). This represented a R+1.1% swing toward Republicans compared to 2020. The county has voted Republican in every presidential election since 2000.
Electoral Behavior
🌾
Northern Rural SecularView all
Rural counties in the Upper Midwest (MN/IA/WI/IN/MO/IL/MI) that voted for Obama in 2008 but have swung dramatically toward Republicans. These historically Democratic, secular farming communities have realigned.
Volatility
8.1
Elasticity
Inelastic
Trend
-2.3/yr (red)
Quick Stats
2024 ResultR+61.3
2020→2024 SwingR+1.1%
Voting StreakR since 2000
Elections on Record34
Demographics
Population8,815
Median Age
42.7(US: 38.4)
College (BA+)
24.3%(US: 47.9%)
Median Income
$58,269(US: $78k)
White (non-Hisp)
92.7%(US: 57.5%)
Hispanic
2.2%(US: 18.6%)
Homeownership
81.0%(US: 64.2%)
Poverty Rate
13.1%(US: 12.4%)
Veterans
10.2%(US: 6.4%)
Presidential Elections
| Year | Democrat | Republican | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 18.9%(888) | 80.2%(3,771) | R+61.3 | -1.1 |
| 2020 | 19.1%(897) | 79.3%(3,725) | R+60.2 | -4.7 |
| 2016 | 19.4%(838) | 75.0%(3,232) | R+55.5 | -21.7 |
| 2012 | 31.5%(1,312) | 65.3%(2,721) | R+33.8 | -15.4 |
| 2008 | 39.8%(1,814) | 58.1%(2,654) | R+18.4 | +3.8 |
| 2004 | 38.5%(1,645) | 60.8%(2,593) | R+22.2 | -3.2 |
| 2000 | 38.6%(1,488) | 57.7%(2,220) | R+19.0 | -19.7 |
| 1996 | 42.9%(1,487) | 42.2%(1,464) | D+0.7 | -3.3 |
| 1992 | 35.9%(1,456) | 31.9%(1,295) | D+4.0 | +13.1 |
| 1988 | 45.3%(1,726) | 54.4%(2,074) | R+9.1 | +22.8 |
Senate Elections
| Year | Democrat | Republican | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 22.2%(1,036) | 75.1%(3,506) | R+52.9 | +2.4 |
| 2022 | 22.4%(745) | 77.7%(2,588) | R+55.3 | -14.6 |
| 2018 | 27.1%(1,022) | 67.7%(2,558) | R+40.7 | -17.6 |
| 2016 | 35.2%(1,517) | 58.3%(2,513) | R+23.1 | -21.9 |
| 2012 | 44.3%(1,832) | 45.5%(1,880) | R+1.2 | +32.1 |
| 2010 | 29.5%(979) | 62.7%(2,083) | R+33.2 | -31.6 |
| 2006 | 46.4%(1,740) | 48.0%(1,802) | R+1.6 | +27.2 |
| 2004 | 34.8%(1,473) | 63.6%(2,697) | R+28.9 | -26.1 |
| 2002 | 47.5%(1,496) | 50.3%(1,584) | R+2.8 | +1.9 |
| 2000 | 46.5%(1,821) | 51.2%(2,005) | R+4.7 | +17.3 |
Governor Elections
| Year | Democrat | Republican | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 20.2%(940) | 77.5%(3,601) | R+57.3 | +0.5 |
| 2020 | 19.7%(916) | 77.5%(3,603) | R+57.8 | -28.1 |
| 2016 | 33.4%(1,443) | 63.1%(2,726) | R+29.7 | -24.6 |
| 2012 | 45.3%(1,882) | 50.4%(2,092) | R+5.1 | -12.7 |
| 2008 | 52.3%(2,361) | 44.6%(2,014) | D+7.7 | +22.2 |
| 2004 | 41.9%(1,796) | 56.4%(2,419) | R+14.5 | -6.6 |
| 2000 | 44.1%(1,701) | 52.0%(2,006) | R+7.9 | -28.7 |
| 1996 | 58.8%(2,031) | 38.0%(1,314) | D+20.8 | +12.5 |
| 1992 | 54.1%(2,127) | 45.9%(1,804) | D+8.2 | +41.7 |
| 1988 | 32.7%(1,249) | 66.2%(2,527) | R+33.5 | -6.6 |
Primary Election History
| Year | Party | Winner | Runner-up | Nominee? |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | Dem | Joe Biden(60.6%) | Bernie Sanders(28.7%) | ✓ |
| 2016 | Dem | Bernie Sanders(55.6%) | Hillary Clinton(43.2%) | ✗ |
| 2016 | GOP | Donald Trump(43.9%) | Ted Cruz(39.5%) | ✓ |
| 2008 | Dem | Hillary Clinton(59.4%) | Barack Obama(36.5%) | ✗ |
✓ = County picked eventual party nominee