Lincoln County, Missouri: Northern Rural Secular
Missouri · Presidential Elections 1892–2024
R+55.9
2024 Margin
R+3.5%
2020→2024 Swing
R since 2000
Voting Streak
🌾 N. Rural
Classification
60K
Population
Lincoln County, Missouri voted R+55.9 for Donald Trump in 2024, with Trump receiving 24,866 votes (77.38%). This represented a R+3.5% swing toward Republicans compared to 2020. The county has voted Republican in every presidential election since 2000.
Electoral Behavior
🌾
Northern Rural SecularView all
Rural counties in the Upper Midwest (MN/IA/WI/IN/MO/IL/MI) that voted for Obama in 2008 but have swung dramatically toward Republicans. These historically Democratic, secular farming communities have realigned.
Volatility
7.4
Elasticity
Sticky
Trend
-2.4/yr (red)
Quick Stats
2024 ResultR+55.9
2020→2024 SwingR+3.5%
Voting StreakR since 2000
Elections on Record34
Demographics
Population59,574
Median Age
37.1(US: 38.4)
College (BA+)
23.4%(US: 47.9%)
Median Income
$82,543(US: $78k)
White (non-Hisp)
92.1%(US: 57.5%)
Hispanic
2.8%(US: 18.6%)
Black
1.8%(US: 12.3%)
Homeownership
78.3%(US: 64.2%)
Poverty Rate
10.7%(US: 12.4%)
Veterans
7.5%(US: 6.4%)
Presidential Elections
| Year | Democrat | Republican | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 21.5%(6,908) | 77.4%(24,866) | R+55.9 | -3.5 |
| 2020 | 22.7%(6,607) | 75.2%(21,848) | R+52.4 | -2.3 |
| 2016 | 22.2%(5,575) | 72.3%(18,159) | R+50.1 | -21.1 |
| 2012 | 34.0%(7,734) | 62.9%(14,332) | R+29.0 | -17.5 |
| 2008 | 43.5%(10,234) | 54.9%(12,924) | R+11.4 | +3.4 |
| 2004 | 42.2%(8,368) | 57.0%(11,316) | R+14.9 | -4.9 |
| 2000 | 43.7%(6,961) | 53.7%(8,549) | R+10.0 | -15.9 |
| 1996 | 44.8%(5,644) | 38.8%(4,897) | D+5.9 | -7.7 |
| 1992 | 42.7%(5,453) | 29.1%(3,718) | D+13.6 | +20.6 |
| 1988 | 46.3%(4,605) | 53.4%(5,305) | R+7.0 | +23.2 |
Senate Elections
| Year | Democrat | Republican | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 25.5%(8,071) | 72.0%(22,811) | R+46.5 | -0.3 |
| 2022 | 26.9%(5,161) | 73.1%(14,029) | R+46.2 | -19.5 |
| 2018 | 34.4%(7,391) | 61.1%(13,140) | R+26.7 | -7.4 |
| 2016 | 37.4%(9,264) | 56.7%(14,061) | R+19.3 | -16.5 |
| 2012 | 45.3%(10,225) | 48.1%(10,860) | R+2.8 | +20.2 |
| 2010 | 33.4%(5,351) | 56.4%(9,027) | R+23.0 | -21.4 |
| 2006 | 47.7%(8,112) | 49.2%(8,373) | R+1.5 | +11.7 |
| 2004 | 42.7%(8,429) | 55.9%(11,033) | R+13.2 | -10.4 |
| 2002 | 47.9%(6,618) | 50.7%(6,999) | R+2.8 | -0.0 |
| 2000 | 48.1%(7,652) | 50.8%(8,087) | R+2.7 | +3.3 |
Governor Elections
| Year | Democrat | Republican | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 21.4%(6,759) | 76.4%(24,149) | R+55.0 | -6.9 |
| 2020 | 24.6%(7,116) | 72.7%(21,014) | R+48.1 | -27.2 |
| 2016 | 37.7%(9,352) | 58.6%(14,536) | R+20.9 | -19.3 |
| 2012 | 47.6%(10,730) | 49.2%(11,092) | R+1.6 | -8.5 |
| 2008 | 52.3%(12,197) | 45.4%(10,589) | D+6.9 | +16.0 |
| 2004 | 44.6%(8,824) | 53.8%(10,626) | R+9.1 | -1.3 |
| 2000 | 44.3%(7,034) | 52.1%(8,282) | R+7.8 | -18.1 |
| 1996 | 53.9%(6,797) | 43.7%(5,507) | D+10.2 | -9.9 |
| 1992 | 60.1%(7,555) | 39.9%(5,019) | D+20.2 | +50.1 |
| 1988 | 34.9%(3,446) | 64.8%(6,400) | R+29.9 | -19.7 |
Primary Election History
| Year | Party | Winner | Runner-up | Nominee? |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | Dem | Joe Biden(59.7%) | Bernie Sanders(34.0%) | ✓ |
| 2016 | Dem | Bernie Sanders(54.6%) | Hillary Clinton(43.1%) | ✗ |
| 2016 | GOP | Donald Trump(47.1%) | Ted Cruz(42.4%) | ✓ |
| 2008 | Dem | Hillary Clinton(61.4%) | Barack Obama(34.5%) | ✗ |
✓ = County picked eventual party nominee