Wayne County, Missouri: Northern Rural Secular
Missouri · Presidential Elections 1892–2024
R+72.6
2024 Margin
R+2.2%
2020→2024 Swing
R since 2000
Voting Streak
🌾 N. Rural
Classification
11K
Population
Wayne County, Missouri voted R+72.6 for Donald Trump in 2024, with Trump receiving 5,030 votes (86.03%). This represented a R+2.2% swing toward Republicans compared to 2020. The county has voted Republican in every presidential election since 2000.
Electoral Behavior
🌾
Northern Rural SecularView all
Rural counties in the Upper Midwest (MN/IA/WI/IN/MO/IL/MI) that voted for Obama in 2008 but have swung dramatically toward Republicans. These historically Democratic, secular farming communities have realigned.
Volatility
12.9
Elasticity
Inelastic
Trend
-3.1/yr (red)
Quick Stats
2024 ResultR+72.6
2020→2024 SwingR+2.2%
Voting StreakR since 2000
Elections on Record34
Demographics
Population10,974
Median Age
49.2(US: 38.4)
College (BA+)
14.4%(US: 47.9%)
Median Income
$42,758(US: $78k)
White (non-Hisp)
92.8%(US: 57.5%)
Hispanic
1.0%(US: 18.6%)
Homeownership
76.0%(US: 64.2%)
Poverty Rate
25.1%(US: 12.4%)
Veterans
8.7%(US: 6.4%)
Presidential Elections
| Year | Democrat | Republican | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 13.4%(783) | 86.0%(5,030) | R+72.6 | -2.2 |
| 2020 | 14.4%(845) | 84.8%(4,987) | R+70.5 | -6.1 |
| 2016 | 16.4%(948) | 80.8%(4,658) | R+64.4 | -29.8 |
| 2012 | 31.7%(1,813) | 66.3%(3,790) | R+34.6 | -9.5 |
| 2008 | 36.5%(2,243) | 61.5%(3,784) | R+25.0 | +1.9 |
| 2004 | 36.3%(2,250) | 63.2%(3,919) | R+26.9 | -10.5 |
| 2000 | 40.8%(2,387) | 57.2%(3,346) | R+16.4 | -26.7 |
| 1996 | 48.8%(2,754) | 38.5%(2,172) | D+10.3 | -5.8 |
| 1992 | 51.0%(3,073) | 34.9%(2,101) | D+16.1 | +19.9 |
| 1988 | 48.0%(2,456) | 51.8%(2,648) | R+3.8 | +5.9 |
Senate Elections
| Year | Democrat | Republican | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 14.6%(840) | 83.0%(4,783) | R+68.4 | +1.2 |
| 2022 | 15.2%(604) | 84.8%(3,369) | R+69.6 | -16.2 |
| 2018 | 21.9%(1,036) | 75.3%(3,567) | R+53.4 | -19.2 |
| 2016 | 30.3%(1,706) | 64.5%(3,636) | R+34.2 | -34.3 |
| 2012 | 47.5%(2,697) | 47.5%(2,693) | D+0.1 | +28.8 |
| 2010 | 33.4%(1,411) | 62.1%(2,625) | R+28.7 | -23.3 |
| 2006 | 45.5%(2,394) | 50.9%(2,678) | R+5.4 | +24.0 |
| 2004 | 34.8%(2,153) | 64.2%(3,974) | R+29.4 | -20.0 |
| 2002 | 44.7%(2,085) | 54.1%(2,523) | R+9.4 | -4.6 |
| 2000 | 47.2%(2,761) | 52.0%(3,039) | R+4.8 | +4.3 |
Governor Elections
| Year | Democrat | Republican | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 12.7%(729) | 85.5%(4,906) | R+72.8 | -5.7 |
| 2020 | 15.5%(900) | 82.6%(4,801) | R+67.1 | -20.1 |
| 2016 | 25.1%(1,425) | 72.0%(4,098) | R+47.0 | -50.9 |
| 2012 | 50.8%(2,865) | 46.8%(2,642) | D+4.0 | -4.9 |
| 2008 | 53.5%(3,269) | 44.6%(2,727) | D+8.9 | +27.9 |
| 2004 | 39.9%(2,472) | 58.8%(3,649) | R+19.0 | -13.4 |
| 2000 | 46.3%(2,684) | 51.8%(3,008) | R+5.6 | -17.8 |
| 1996 | 55.1%(3,114) | 42.8%(2,421) | D+12.3 | -2.4 |
| 1992 | 57.4%(3,352) | 42.6%(2,493) | D+14.7 | +35.1 |
| 1988 | 39.8%(2,014) | 60.2%(3,047) | R+20.4 | -12.8 |
Primary Election History
| Year | Party | Winner | Runner-up | Nominee? |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | Dem | Joe Biden(62.0%) | Bernie Sanders(31.9%) | ✓ |
| 2016 | Dem | Hillary Clinton(57.8%) | Bernie Sanders(38.8%) | ✓ |
| 2016 | GOP | Donald Trump(54.4%) | Ted Cruz(34.6%) | ✓ |
| 2008 | Dem | Hillary Clinton(75.9%) | Barack Obama(18.7%) | ✗ |
✓ = County picked eventual party nominee