Musselshell County, Montana: Northern Rural Secular
Montana · Presidential Elections 1912–2024
R+71.5
2024 Margin
R+1.7%
2020→2024 Swing
R since 1968
Voting Streak
🌾 N. Rural
Classification
5K
Population
Musselshell County, Montana voted R+71.5 for Donald Trump in 2024, with Trump receiving 2,550 votes (84.66%). This represented a R+1.7% swing toward Republicans compared to 2020. The county has voted Republican in every presidential election since 1968.
Electoral Behavior
🌾
Northern Rural SecularView all
Rural counties in the Upper Midwest (MN/IA/WI/IN/MO/IL/MI) that voted for Obama in 2008 but have swung dramatically toward Republicans. These historically Democratic, secular farming communities have realigned.
Volatility
6.1
Elasticity
Sticky
Trend
-2.0/yr (red)
Quick Stats
2024 ResultR+71.5
2020→2024 SwingR+1.7%
Voting StreakR since 1968
Elections on Record29
Demographics
Population4,730
Median Age
52.0(US: 38.4)
College (BA+)
27.4%(US: 47.9%)
Median Income
$54,875(US: $78k)
White (non-Hisp)
87.7%(US: 57.5%)
Hispanic
3.7%(US: 18.6%)
Homeownership
82.5%(US: 64.2%)
Poverty Rate
15.3%(US: 12.4%)
Veterans
12.9%(US: 6.4%)
Presidential Elections
| Year | Democrat | Republican | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 13.2%(396) | 84.7%(2,550) | R+71.5 | -1.7 |
| 2020 | 14.3%(413) | 84.1%(2,423) | R+69.8 | -2.8 |
| 2016 | 13.6%(332) | 80.6%(1,967) | R+67.0 | -11.3 |
| 2012 | 20.4%(492) | 76.2%(1,833) | R+55.7 | -14.7 |
| 2008 | 27.6%(636) | 68.6%(1,581) | R+41.0 | +9.1 |
| 2004 | 23.9%(538) | 74.0%(1,663) | R+50.1 | -1.6 |
| 2000 | 23.2%(512) | 71.7%(1,582) | R+48.5 | -25.9 |
| 1996 | 31.4%(652) | 54.0%(1,121) | R+22.6 | -12.4 |
| 1992 | 29.1%(648) | 39.3%(876) | R+10.2 | +7.1 |
| 1988 | 40.7%(898) | 58.1%(1,280) | R+17.3 | +14.9 |
Senate Elections
| Year | Democrat | Republican | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 17.8%(536) | 80.1%(2,408) | R+62.3 | +0.3 |
| 2020 | 18.7%(538) | 81.3%(2,341) | R+62.6 | -14.5 |
| 2018 | 23.6%(573) | 71.7%(1,743) | R+48.1 | +6.8 |
| 2014 | 21.5%(442) | 76.3%(1,572) | R+54.9 | -22.3 |
| 2012 | 28.6%(684) | 61.1%(1,463) | R+32.5 | -54.1 |
| 2008 | 60.8%(1,361) | 39.2%(878) | D+21.6 | +54.7 |
| 2006 | 31.2%(670) | 64.3%(1,382) | R+33.1 | -49.4 |
| 2002 | 55.4%(1,018) | 39.1%(719) | D+16.3 | +47.2 |
| 2000 | 33.2%(732) | 64.1%(1,414) | R+30.9 | -16.3 |
| 1996 | 40.1%(837) | 54.7%(1,142) | R+14.6 | +37.1 |
Governor Elections
| Year | Democrat | Republican | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 12.3%(369) | 85.2%(2,555) | R+72.9 | -7.8 |
| 2020 | 15.7%(450) | 80.8%(2,318) | R+65.1 | -30.3 |
| 2016 | 30.1%(741) | 64.9%(1,599) | R+34.8 | +3.0 |
| 2012 | 28.0%(671) | 65.9%(1,577) | R+37.8 | -37.5 |
| 2008 | 48.3%(1,109) | 48.7%(1,117) | R+0.3 | +22.0 |
| 2004 | 36.9%(819) | 59.3%(1,316) | R+22.4 | +5.2 |
| 2000 | 34.9%(766) | 62.5%(1,371) | R+27.6 | +40.8 |
| 1996 | 15.8%(329) | 84.2%(1,755) | R+68.4 | -33.9 |
| 1992 | 32.7%(721) | 67.3%(1,483) | R+34.6 | -21.6 |
| 1988 | 42.8%(935) | 55.7%(1,218) | R+12.9 | -55.7 |
Primary Election History
| Year | Party | Winner | Runner-up | Nominee? |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | GOP | Donald Trump(95.0%) | Other(5.0%) | ✓ |
| 2020 | Dem | Joe Biden(77.5%) | Bernie Sanders(9.4%) | ✓ |
| 2016 | Dem | Bernie Sanders(51.6%) | Hillary Clinton(40.9%) | ✗ |
| 2016 | GOP | Donald Trump(82.9%) | Ted Cruz(9.8%) | ✓ |
| 2008 | Dem | Hillary Clinton(53.2%) | Barack Obama(44.6%) | ✗ |
✓ = County picked eventual party nominee