Rosebud County, Montana: Northern Rural Secular
Montana · Presidential Elections 1904–2024
R+37.1
2024 Margin
R+3.0%
2020→2024 Swing
R since 2012
Voting Streak
🌾 N. Rural
Classification
8K
Population
Rosebud County, Montana voted R+37.1 for Donald Trump in 2024, with Trump receiving 2,466 votes (66.77%). This represented a R+3.0% swing toward Republicans compared to 2020. The county has voted Republican in every presidential election since 2012.
Electoral Behavior
🌾
Northern Rural SecularView all
Rural counties in the Upper Midwest (MN/IA/WI/IN/MO/IL/MI) that voted for Obama in 2008 but have swung dramatically toward Republicans. These historically Democratic, secular farming communities have realigned.
Volatility
7.9
Elasticity
Responsive
Trend
-1.7/yr (red)
Quick Stats
2024 ResultR+37.1
2020→2024 SwingR+3.0%
Voting StreakR since 2012
Elections on Record31
Demographics
Population8,329
Median Age
36.4(US: 38.4)
College (BA+)
25.5%(US: 47.9%)
Median Income
$57,656(US: $78k)
White (non-Hisp)
52.7%(US: 57.5%)
Hispanic
3.5%(US: 18.6%)
Homeownership
66.3%(US: 64.2%)
Poverty Rate
21.6%(US: 12.4%)
Veterans
11.6%(US: 6.4%)
Presidential Elections
| Year | Democrat | Republican | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 29.6%(1,095) | 66.8%(2,466) | R+37.1 | -3.0 |
| 2020 | 31.8%(1,199) | 65.9%(2,486) | R+34.1 | +2.5 |
| 2016 | 28.6%(987) | 65.3%(2,253) | R+36.7 | -20.1 |
| 2012 | 40.4%(1,422) | 56.9%(2,004) | R+16.5 | -20.5 |
| 2008 | 50.4%(1,919) | 46.4%(1,768) | D+4.0 | +16.9 |
| 2004 | 42.4%(1,520) | 55.3%(1,982) | R+12.9 | -0.3 |
| 2000 | 40.7%(1,394) | 53.4%(1,826) | R+12.6 | -19.9 |
| 1996 | 45.6%(1,681) | 38.4%(1,413) | D+7.3 | -6.5 |
| 1992 | 42.6%(1,669) | 28.8%(1,130) | D+13.8 | +12.5 |
| 1988 | 49.3%(1,869) | 48.0%(1,822) | D+1.2 | +12.4 |
Senate Elections
| Year | Democrat | Republican | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 38.5%(1,435) | 59.3%(2,208) | R+20.8 | +8.3 |
| 2020 | 35.5%(1,338) | 64.5%(2,436) | R+29.1 | -21.6 |
| 2018 | 44.9%(1,511) | 52.4%(1,765) | R+7.5 | +21.8 |
| 2014 | 34.3%(900) | 63.6%(1,669) | R+29.3 | -32.9 |
| 2012 | 48.0%(1,704) | 44.5%(1,578) | D+3.5 | -49.0 |
| 2008 | 76.3%(2,874) | 23.8%(895) | D+52.5 | +38.7 |
| 2006 | 55.3%(1,907) | 41.6%(1,432) | D+13.8 | -33.4 |
| 2002 | 71.2%(2,138) | 24.0%(720) | D+47.2 | +39.7 |
| 2000 | 52.4%(1,847) | 44.9%(1,582) | D+7.5 | -9.5 |
| 1996 | 55.3%(2,130) | 38.3%(1,474) | D+17.0 | +35.5 |
Governor Elections
| Year | Democrat | Republican | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 30.6%(1,129) | 66.9%(2,469) | R+36.3 | -6.2 |
| 2020 | 33.0%(1,236) | 63.1%(2,363) | R+30.1 | -13.5 |
| 2016 | 40.3%(1,430) | 56.9%(2,018) | R+16.6 | -16.2 |
| 2012 | 48.1%(1,692) | 48.5%(1,706) | R+0.4 | -42.0 |
| 2008 | 69.8%(2,661) | 28.2%(1,075) | D+41.6 | +24.4 |
| 2004 | 55.8%(1,990) | 38.7%(1,378) | D+17.2 | +3.2 |
| 2000 | 56.0%(1,955) | 42.0%(1,466) | D+14.0 | +56.1 |
| 1996 | 28.9%(1,089) | 71.1%(2,674) | R+42.1 | -55.0 |
| 1992 | 56.5%(2,224) | 43.5%(1,716) | D+12.9 | +3.1 |
| 1988 | 53.6%(2,040) | 43.8%(1,668) | D+9.8 | -44.1 |
Primary Election History
| Year | Party | Winner | Runner-up | Nominee? |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | GOP | Donald Trump(93.2%) | Other(6.8%) | ✓ |
| 2020 | Dem | Joe Biden(79.5%) | Bernie Sanders(10.3%) | ✓ |
| 2016 | Dem | Bernie Sanders(54.9%) | Hillary Clinton(37.8%) | ✗ |
| 2016 | GOP | Donald Trump(84.5%) | Ted Cruz(7.9%) | ✓ |
| 2008 | Dem | Barack Obama(55.1%) | Hillary Clinton(40.7%) | ✓ |
✓ = County picked eventual party nominee