Clay County, Nebraska: Northern Rural Secular
Nebraska · Presidential Elections 1892–2024
R+63.3
2024 Margin
R+1.2%
2020→2024 Swing
R since 1968
Voting Streak
🌾 N. Rural
Classification
6K
Population
Clay County, Nebraska voted R+63.3 for Donald Trump in 2024, with Trump receiving 2,677 votes (80.66%). This represented a R+1.2% swing toward Republicans compared to 2020. The county has voted Republican in every presidential election since 1968.
Electoral Behavior
🌾
Northern Rural SecularView all
Rural counties in the Upper Midwest (MN/IA/WI/IN/MO/IL/MI) that voted for Obama in 2008 but have swung dramatically toward Republicans. These historically Democratic, secular farming communities have realigned.
Volatility
4.3
Elasticity
Moderate
Trend
-1.2/yr (red)
Quick Stats
2024 ResultR+63.3
2020→2024 SwingR+1.2%
Voting StreakR since 1968
Elections on Record34
Demographics
Population6,104
Median Age
39.5(US: 38.4)
College (BA+)
30.3%(US: 47.9%)
Median Income
$73,933(US: $78k)
White (non-Hisp)
87.9%(US: 57.5%)
Hispanic
9.4%(US: 18.6%)
Homeownership
80.7%(US: 64.2%)
Poverty Rate
8.1%(US: 12.4%)
Veterans
7.1%(US: 6.4%)
Presidential Elections
| Year | Democrat | Republican | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 17.4%(577) | 80.7%(2,677) | R+63.3 | -1.2 |
| 2020 | 17.7%(632) | 79.8%(2,848) | R+62.1 | +1.4 |
| 2016 | 15.6%(477) | 79.0%(2,422) | R+63.5 | -10.4 |
| 2012 | 22.6%(667) | 75.7%(2,232) | R+53.1 | -7.0 |
| 2008 | 25.7%(780) | 71.8%(2,177) | R+46.1 | +7.9 |
| 2004 | 22.3%(743) | 76.2%(2,543) | R+53.9 | -5.7 |
| 2000 | 24.1%(774) | 72.3%(2,326) | R+48.3 | -15.0 |
| 1996 | 26.6%(880) | 59.9%(1,982) | R+33.3 | -4.8 |
| 1992 | 22.4%(802) | 50.8%(1,824) | R+28.5 | +7.7 |
| 1988 | 31.6%(1,097) | 67.8%(2,352) | R+36.2 | +20.0 |
Senate Elections
| Year | Democrat | Republican | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 26.6%(870) | 73.2%(2,397) | R+46.6 | +18.5 |
| 2020 | 12.6%(432) | 77.7%(2,660) | R+65.1 | -13.3 |
| 2018 | 22.1%(592) | 73.9%(1,979) | R+51.8 | +8.6 |
| 2014 | 17.5%(380) | 77.9%(1,687) | R+60.3 | -11.3 |
| 2012 | 25.5%(750) | 74.5%(2,194) | R+49.0 | -30.6 |
| 2008 | 39.9%(1,210) | 58.3%(1,770) | R+18.4 | -44.5 |
| 2006 | 63.0%(1,572) | 37.0%(922) | D+26.1 | +103.3 |
| 2002 | 10.1%(231) | 87.4%(1,990) | R+77.2 | -63.4 |
| 2000 | 43.0%(1,377) | 56.8%(1,819) | R+13.8 | +7.1 |
| 1996 | 38.3%(1,264) | 59.2%(1,955) | R+20.9 | -29.0 |
Governor Elections
| Year | Democrat | Republican | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 14.9%(405) | 80.1%(2,175) | R+65.2 | -7.2 |
| 2018 | 21.0%(564) | 79.0%(2,122) | R+58.0 | -27.7 |
| 2014 | 32.5%(698) | 62.8%(1,348) | R+30.3 | +39.7 |
| 2010 | 15.0%(329) | 85.0%(1,861) | R+70.0 | +2.4 |
| 2006 | 13.0%(343) | 85.4%(2,250) | R+72.3 | -30.0 |
| 2002 | 25.8%(583) | 68.2%(1,539) | R+42.3 | -29.9 |
| 1998 | 43.8%(1,195) | 56.2%(1,536) | R+12.5 | -57.0 |
| 1994 | 72.1%(2,183) | 27.6%(835) | D+44.5 | +48.2 |
| 1990 | 47.8%(1,554) | 51.5%(1,673) | R+3.7 | +3.8 |
| 1986 | 46.0%(1,569) | 53.5%(1,825) | R+7.5 | -4.4 |
Primary Election History
| Year | Party | Winner | Runner-up | Nominee? |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | GOP | Donald Trump(86.6%) | Nikki Haley(11.3%) | ✓ |
| 2020 | Dem | Joe Biden(74.7%) | Bernie Sanders(13.8%) | ✓ |
| 2016 | Dem | Bernie Sanders(74.5%) | Hillary Clinton(25.5%) | ✗ |
| 2016 | GOP | Donald Trump(67.6%) | Ted Cruz(17.1%) | ✓ |
| 2008 | Dem | Barack Obama(58.2%) | Hillary Clinton(41.8%) | ✓ |
✓ = County picked eventual party nominee