Somerset County, New Jersey: Professional Migration
New Jersey · Presidential Elections 1892–2024
D+13.8
2024 Margin
R+7.4%
2020→2024 Swing
D since 2008
Voting Streak
🏘️ Prof. Migration
Classification
345K
Population
Somerset County, New Jersey voted D+13.8 for Kamala Harris in 2024, with Harris receiving 98,790 votes (55.39%). This represented a R+7.4% swing toward Republicans compared to 2020. The county has voted Democratic in every presidential election since 2008.
Electoral Behavior
🏘️
Professional MigrationView all
Growing metro exurbs and suburbs receiving educated professionals from cities. These areas are shifting blue as remote work and urban flight bring liberal voters. Examples: Atlanta suburbs, DFW exurbs, Denver metro.
Volatility
2.9
Elasticity
Highly elastic
Trend
+0.8/yr
Quick Stats
2024 ResultD+13.8
2020→2024 SwingR+7.4%
Voting StreakD since 2008
Elections on Record34
Demographics
Population345,361
Median Age
42.0(US: 38.4)
College (BA+)
83.7%(US: 47.9%)
Median Income
$131,948(US: $78k)
White (non-Hisp)
50.6%(US: 57.5%)
Hispanic
17.1%(US: 18.6%)
Black
9.2%(US: 12.3%)
Asian
19.1%(US: 5.7%)
Homeownership
74.5%(US: 64.2%)
Poverty Rate
5.5%(US: 12.4%)
Veterans
3.5%(US: 6.4%)
Presidential Elections
| Year | Democrat | Republican | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 55.4%(98,790) | 41.5%(74,101) | D+13.8 | -7.4 |
| 2020 | 60.2%(111,173) | 39.0%(71,996) | D+21.2 | +8.3 |
| 2016 | 54.5%(85,689) | 41.7%(65,505) | D+12.8 | +7.3 |
| 2012 | 52.1%(74,592) | 46.5%(66,603) | D+5.6 | -0.5 |
| 2008 | 52.5%(79,321) | 46.4%(70,085) | D+6.1 | +10.4 |
| 2004 | 47.4%(66,476) | 51.7%(72,508) | R+4.3 | -1.4 |
| 2000 | 46.7%(56,232) | 49.6%(59,725) | R+2.9 | -1.8 |
| 1996 | 44.9%(50,673) | 45.9%(51,869) | R+1.1 | +9.8 |
| 1992 | 35.5%(42,867) | 46.4%(56,044) | R+10.9 | +17.6 |
| 1988 | 35.2%(37,406) | 63.7%(67,658) | R+28.5 | +6.1 |
Senate Elections
| Year | Democrat | Republican | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 55.6%(95,344) | 41.8%(71,652) | D+13.8 | -2.5 |
| 2020 | 57.5%(105,681) | 41.1%(75,622) | D+16.4 | +9.8 |
| 2018 | 51.7%(70,359) | 45.1%(61,373) | D+6.6 | +7.5 |
| 2014 | 48.6%(37,124) | 49.5%(37,835) | R+0.9 | +0.4 |
| 2013 | 48.9%(28,539) | 50.2%(29,304) | R+1.3 | -6.4 |
| 2012 | 51.6%(70,264) | 46.5%(63,349) | D+5.1 | +8.2 |
| 2008 | 47.1%(66,939) | 50.3%(71,392) | R+3.1 | +1.7 |
| 2006 | 46.0%(42,242) | 50.9%(46,720) | R+4.9 | +6.0 |
| 2002 | 43.4%(36,476) | 54.3%(45,590) | R+10.8 | +8.8 |
| 2000 | 39.0%(45,948) | 58.6%(69,045) | R+19.6 | -7.0 |
Governor Elections
| Year | Democrat | Republican | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 59.2%(83,355) | 39.8%(56,095) | D+19.4 | +17.5 |
| 2017 | 49.8%(45,935) | 47.9%(44,231) | D+1.9 | +38.6 |
| 2013 | 30.8%(26,913) | 67.5%(58,981) | R+36.7 | -14.8 |
| 2009 | 34.3%(35,089) | 56.2%(57,481) | R+21.9 | -12.3 |
| 2005 | 43.3%(40,459) | 52.8%(49,406) | R+9.6 | -2.9 |
| 2001 | 45.6%(39,110) | 52.2%(44,815) | R+6.7 | +18.3 |
| 1997 | 32.4%(29,089) | 57.4%(51,465) | R+24.9 | -4.2 |
| 1993 | 38.6%(36,046) | 59.4%(55,444) | R+20.8 | -23.9 |
| 1989 | 50.5%(37,159) | 47.3%(34,815) | D+3.2 | +55.7 |
| 1985 | 23.1%(13,601) | 75.6%(44,502) | R+52.5 | -25.9 |
Primary Election History
| Year | Party | Winner | Runner-up | Nominee? |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | Dem | Joe Biden(82.5%) | Bernie Sanders(16.0%) | ✓ |
| 2016 | Dem | Hillary Clinton(61.6%) | Bernie Sanders(38.4%) | ✓ |
| 2016 | GOP | Donald Trump(75.5%) | John Kasich(18.5%) | ✓ |
| 2008 | Dem | Barack Obama(50.3%) | Hillary Clinton(47.7%) | ✓ |
✓ = County picked eventual party nominee