Warren County, New Jersey: Professional Migration
New Jersey · Presidential Elections 1892–2024
R+20.6
2024 Margin
R+4.3%
2020→2024 Swing
R since 1968
Voting Streak
🏘️ Prof. Migration
Classification
110K
Population
Warren County, New Jersey voted R+20.6 for Donald Trump in 2024, with Trump receiving 35,772 votes (59.27%). This represented a R+4.3% swing toward Republicans compared to 2020. The county has voted Republican in every presidential election since 1968.
Electoral Behavior
🏘️
Professional MigrationView all
Growing metro exurbs and suburbs receiving educated professionals from cities. These areas are shifting blue as remote work and urban flight bring liberal voters. Examples: Atlanta suburbs, DFW exurbs, Denver metro.
Volatility
2.9
Elasticity
Highly elastic
Trend
-0.4/yr
Quick Stats
2024 ResultR+20.6
2020→2024 SwingR+4.3%
Voting StreakR since 1968
Elections on Record34
Demographics
Population109,632
Median Age
44.0(US: 38.4)
College (BA+)
36.4%(US: 34.6%)
Median Income
$92,620(US: $78k)
White (non-Hisp)
76.3%(US: 57.5%)
Hispanic
12.1%(US: 18.6%)
Black
5.4%(US: 12.3%)
Asian
2.8%(US: 5.7%)
Homeownership
74.3%(US: 64.2%)
Poverty Rate
8.1%(US: 12.4%)
Veterans
5.6%(US: 6.4%)
Non-English (CVAP)
11.0%(US: 17.1%)
Presidential Elections
| Year | Democrat | Republican | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 38.6%(23,318) | 59.3%(35,772) | R+20.6 | -4.3 |
| 2020 | 41.3%(24,901) | 57.6%(34,769) | R+16.4 | +8.9 |
| 2016 | 34.8%(17,281) | 60.1%(29,858) | R+25.3 | -9.9 |
| 2012 | 41.3%(18,745) | 56.7%(25,744) | R+15.4 | -1.4 |
| 2008 | 42.1%(20,628) | 56.2%(27,500) | R+14.0 | +9.8 |
| 2004 | 37.4%(18,044) | 61.3%(29,542) | R+23.9 | -10.1 |
| 2000 | 40.5%(16,543) | 54.3%(22,172) | R+13.8 | -7.6 |
| 1996 | 39.3%(14,805) | 45.5%(17,160) | R+6.3 | +6.9 |
| 1992 | 31.3%(13,002) | 44.5%(18,468) | R+13.2 | +16.8 |
| 1988 | 34.6%(11,640) | 64.5%(21,715) | R+29.9 | +4.6 |
Senate Elections
| Year | Democrat | Republican | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 39.0%(22,758) | 58.4%(34,074) | R+19.4 | -3.0 |
| 2020 | 40.5%(24,124) | 56.8%(33,893) | R+16.4 | +8.0 |
| 2018 | 35.6%(14,452) | 60.0%(24,357) | R+24.4 | -0.9 |
| 2014 | 36.4%(8,609) | 59.9%(14,150) | R+23.4 | +7.3 |
| 2013 | 34.0%(5,812) | 64.8%(11,069) | R+30.8 | -16.4 |
| 2012 | 41.8%(17,904) | 56.2%(24,046) | R+14.3 | +5.6 |
| 2008 | 38.9%(18,019) | 58.9%(27,268) | R+20.0 | +1.5 |
| 2006 | 37.2%(10,785) | 58.6%(17,011) | R+21.5 | +0.3 |
| 2002 | 37.7%(11,044) | 59.5%(17,423) | R+21.8 | +4.1 |
| 2000 | 34.6%(13,841) | 60.5%(24,186) | R+25.9 | -8.8 |
Governor Elections
| Year | Democrat | Republican | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 42.1%(19,199) | 57.0%(25,980) | R+14.9 | +10.9 |
| 2017 | 35.4%(10,065) | 61.2%(17,409) | R+25.8 | +21.7 |
| 2013 | 25.1%(6,855) | 72.6%(19,858) | R+47.5 | -11.3 |
| 2009 | 26.1%(8,446) | 62.4%(20,174) | R+36.3 | -15.2 |
| 2005 | 36.8%(11,460) | 57.9%(18,003) | R+21.0 | -10.5 |
| 2001 | 42.3%(12,554) | 52.8%(15,668) | R+10.5 | +3.6 |
| 1997 | 36.7%(11,125) | 50.8%(15,413) | R+14.1 | +3.5 |
| 1993 | 39.4%(12,215) | 57.0%(17,667) | R+17.6 | -11.4 |
| 1989 | 45.8%(11,651) | 52.0%(13,224) | R+6.2 | +35.7 |
| 1985 | 28.5%(5,869) | 70.4%(14,499) | R+41.9 | -23.4 |